Air Quality State Implementation Plans; Partial Approval, Partial Disapproval and Promulgation; Texas; Regional Haze

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Federal RegisterOct 15, 2024
89 Fed. Reg. 83338 (Oct. 15, 2024)
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    Environmental Protection Agency
  • 40 CFR Part 52
  • [EPA-R06-OAR-2021-0539; FRL-12282-01-R6]
  • AGENCY:

    Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

    ACTION:

    Proposed rule.

    SUMMARY:

    The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove the regional haze State implementation plan (SIP) revision submitted by Texas on July 20, 2021, under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and EPA's Regional Haze Rule (RHR) for the program's second implementation period. Texas's SIP submission addresses the requirement that states must periodically revise their long-term strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national goal of preventing any future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic impairment of visibility, including regional haze, in mandatory Class I Federal areas. The SIP submission also addresses other applicable requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze program. The EPA is taking this action pursuant to sections 110 and 169A of the Clean Air Act.

    DATES:

    Written comments must be received on or before November 14, 2024.

    ADDRESSES:

    Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R06-OAR-2021-0539 at https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA will generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary submission ( i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets. For additional submission methods, please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.

    Docket: The index to the docket for this action is available electronically at www.regulations.gov. While all documents in the docket are listed in the index, some information may not be publicly available due to docket file size restrictions or content ( e.g., CBI).

    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:

    Jennifer Huser, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 6, 1201 Elm St., Suite 500, Dallas, Texas 75270, at (214) 665-7347, or by email at Huser.Jennifer@epa.gov.

    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

    Throughout this document wherever “we,” “us,” or “our” is used, we mean the EPA.

    Table of Contents

    I. What action is the EPA proposing?

    II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans

    A. Regional Haze Background

    B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze

    III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation Period

    A. Identification of Class I Areas

    B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress

    C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze

    D. Reasonable Progress Goals

    E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements

    F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the Reasonable Progress Goals

    G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination

    IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Texas's Regional Haze Submission for the Second Implementation Period

    A. Background on Texas's First Implementation Period SIP Submission

    B. Texas's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and the EPA's Evaluation

    C. Identification of Class I Areas

    1. Texas Class I Areas

    2. Identification of Impacted Class I Areas Outside the State

    D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress

    E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze

    1. Source Selection

    2. Four Factor Analysis

    3. Additional Long-Term Strategy Requirements

    F. Reasonable Progress Goals

    G. Reasonably Attributable Visibility Impairment (RAVI)

    H. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan Requirements

    I. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the Reasonable Progress Goals

    J. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination

    V. Proposed Action

    VI. Environmental Justice Considerations

    VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

    I. What action is the EPA proposing?

    On July 20, 2021, the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) submitted a plan (“2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan” or “Texas RH SIP”) to the EPA to satisfy the regional haze program requirements pursuant to CAA sections 169A and 40 CFR 51.308. The EPA is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove Texas's Regional Haze plan for the second planning (implementation) period. Consistent with section 110(k)(3) of the CAA, the EPA may partially approve portions of a submittal if those elements meet all applicable requirements and may disapprove the remainder so long as the elements are fully separable. As required by section 169A of the CAA, the Federal RHR calls for State and Federal agencies to work together to improve visibility in 156 national parks and wilderness areas. The rule requires the states, in coordination with the EPA, National Park Service (NPS), U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), Forest Service (FS), and other interested parties, to develop and implement air quality protection plans to reduce the pollution that causes visibility impairment. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse particulate matter (PM) ( e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors ( e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). As discussed in further detail below, the EPA is proposing to find that Texas has submitted a Regional Haze plan that does not meet all the Regional Haze requirements for the second planning period. For the reasons described in this document, the EPA is proposing to approve the elements of Texas's plan related to requirements contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1), (f)(4), (f)(5), and (f)(6). The EPA is proposing to disapprove the elements of Texas's plan related to requirements contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2), (f)(3), and (i). The State's submission can be found in the docket for this action.

    See CAA section 110(k)(3) and July 1992 EPA memorandum titled “Processing of State Implementation Plan (SIP) Submittals” from John Calcagni, at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/procsip.pdf.

    40 CFR 51.308(f)(5) requires that the second planning period SIP revision address the requirements listed in (g)(1) through (g)(5).

    II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans

    A. Regional Haze Background

    In the 1977 CAA Amendments, Congress created a program for protecting visibility in the nation's mandatory Class I Federal areas, which include certain national parks and wilderness areas. CAA 169A. The CAA establishes as a national goal the “prevention of any future, and the remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in mandatory class I Federal areas which impairment results from manmade air pollution.” CAA 169A(a)(1). The CAA further directs the EPA to promulgate regulations to assure reasonable progress toward meeting this national goal. CAA 169A(a)(4). On December 2, 1980, the EPA promulgated regulations to address visibility impairment in mandatory Class I Federal areas (hereinafter referred to as “Class I areas”) that is “reasonably attributable” to a single source or small group of sources. (45 FR 80084, December 2, 1980). These regulations, codified at 40 CFR 51.300 through 51.307, represented the first phase of the EPA's efforts to address visibility impairment. In 1990, Congress added section 169B to the CAA to further address visibility impairment, specifically, impairment from regional haze. CAA 169B. The EPA promulgated the RHR, codified at 40 CFR 51.308, on July 1, 1999. (64 FR 35714, July 1, 1999). These regional haze regulations are a central component of the EPA's comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I areas.

    Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class I Federal areas consist of national parks exceeding 6,000 acres, wilderness areas and national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and all international parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977. CAA 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas. The list of areas to which the requirements of the visibility protection program apply is in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.

    In addition to the generally applicable regional haze provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also promulgated regulations specific to addressing regional haze visibility impairment in Class I areas on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. The latter regulations are applicable only for specific jurisdictions' regional haze plans submitted no later than December 17, 2007, and thus are not relevant here.

    Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a multitude of anthropogenic sources and activities which are located across a broad geographic area and that emit pollutants that impair visibility. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse particulate matter (PM) ( e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors ( e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to form fine particulate matter (PM2.5 ), which impairs visibility by scattering and absorbing light. Visibility impairment reduces the perception of clarity and color, as well as visible distance.

    There are several ways to measure the amount of visibility impairment, i.e., haze. One such measurement is the deciview, which is the principal metric used by the RHR. Under many circumstances, a change in one deciview will be perceived by the human eye to be the same on both clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric extinction of light, which is the perceived dimming of light due to its being scattered and absorbed as it passes through the atmosphere. Atmospheric light extinction (bext. ) is a metric used for expressing visibility and is measured in inverse megameters (Mm-1. ). The EPA's Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (“2019 Guidance”) offers the flexibility for the use of light extinction in certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use in calculations than deciviews, since it is not a logarithmic function. See, e.g., 2019 Guidance at 16, 19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period, The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for the deciview is 10 ln (bext. )/10 Mm−1). 40 CFR 51.301.

    To address regional haze visibility impairment, the 1999 RHR established an iterative planning process that requires both states in which Class I areas are located and states “the emissions from which may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility” in a Class I area to periodically submit SIP revisions to address such impairment. CAA 169A(b)(2); see also 40 CFR 51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates for iterative regional haze SIP revisions); (64 FR at 35768, July 1, 1999). Under the CAA, each SIP submission must contain “a long-term (ten to fifteen years) strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal,” CAA 169A(b)(2)(B); the initial round of SIP submissions also had to address the statutory requirement that certain older, larger sources of visibility impairing pollutants install and operate the best available retrofit technology (BART). CAA 169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e). States' first regional haze SIPs were due by December 17, 2007, 40 CFR 51.308(b), with subsequent SIP submissions containing updated long-term strategies originally due July 31, 2018, and every ten years thereafter. (64 FR at 35768, July 1, 1999). The EPA established in the 1999 RHR that all states either have Class I areas within their borders or “contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional haze in a Class I area”; therefore, all states must submit regional haze SIPs. Id. at 35721.

    The RHR expresses the statutory requirement for states to submit plans addressing out-of-state Class I areas by providing that states must address visibility impairment “in each mandatory Class I Federal area located outside the State that may be affected by emissions from within the State.” 40 CFR 51.308(d), (f).

    In addition to each of the fifty states, the EPA also concluded that the Virgin Islands and District of Columbia must also submit regional haze SIPs because they either contain a Class I area or contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See40 CFR 51.300(b), (d)(3).

    Much of the focus in the first implementation period of the regional haze program, which ran from 2007 through 2018, was on satisfying states' BART obligations. First implementation period SIPs were additionally required to contain long-term strategies for making reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal, of which BART is one component. The core required elements for the first implementation period SIPs (other than BART) are laid out in 40 CFR 51.308(d). Those provisions required that states containing Class I areas establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that are measured in deciviews and reflect the anticipated visibility conditions at the end of the implementation period including from implementation of states' long-term strategies. The first planning period RPGs were required to provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days over the period of the implementation plan and ensure no degradation in visibility for the least impaired days over the same period. In establishing the RPGs for any Class I area in a State, the State was required to consider four statutory factors: the costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of any potentially affected sources. CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).

    States were also required to calculate baseline (using the five year period of 2000-2004) and natural visibility conditions ( i.e., visibility conditions without anthropogenic visibility impairment) for each Class I area, and to calculate the linear rate of progress needed to attain natural visibility conditions, assuming a starting point of baseline visibility conditions in 2004 and ending with natural conditions in 2064. This linear interpolation is known as the uniform rate of progress (URP) and is used as a tracking metric to help states assess the amount of progress they are making towards the national visibility goal over time in each Class I area. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2). The 1999 RHR also provided that States' long-term strategies must include the “enforceable emissions limitations, compliance, schedules, and other measures as necessary to achieve the reasonable progress goals.” 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3). In establishing their long-term strategies, states are required to consult with other states that also contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area and include all measures necessary to obtain their shares of the emission reductions needed to meet the RPGs. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii). Section 51.308(d) also contains seven additional factors states must consider in formulating their long-term strategies, 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v), as well as provisions governing monitoring and other implementation plan requirements. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4). Finally, the 1999 RHR required states to submit periodic progress reports—SIP revisions due every five years that contain information on states' implementation of their regional haze plans and an assessment of whether anything additional is needed to make reasonable progress, see 40 CFR 51.308(g), (h)—and to consult with the Federal Land Manager(s) (FLMs) responsible for each Class I area according to the requirements in CAA 169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).

    The EPA established the URP framework in the 1999 RHR to provide “an equitable analytical approach” to assessing the rate of visibility improvement at Class I areas across the country. The starting point for the URP analysis is 2004 and the endpoint was calculated based on the amount of visibility improvement that was anticipated to result from implementation of existing CAA programs over the period from the mid-1990s to approximately 2005. Assuming this rate of progress would continue into the future, the EPA determined that natural visibility conditions would be reached in 60 years, or 2064 (60 years from the baseline starting point of 2004). However, the EPA did not establish 2064 as the year by which the national goal must be reached. 64 FR at 35731-32. That is, the URP and the 2064 date are not enforceable targets but are rather tools that “allow for analytical comparisons between the rate of progress that would be achieved by the state's chosen set of control measures and the URP.” (82 FR 3078, 3084, January 10, 2017).

    The EPA's regulations define “Federal Land Manager” as “the Secretary of the department with authority over the Federal Class I area (or the Secretary's designee) or, with respect to Roosevelt-Campobello International Park, the Chairman of the Roosevelt-Campobello International Park Commission.” 40 CFR 51.301.

    On January 10, 2017, the EPA promulgated revisions to the RHR, (82 FR 3078, January 10, 2017), that apply for the second and subsequent implementation periods. The 2017 rulemaking made several changes to the requirements for regional haze SIPs to clarify States' obligations and streamline certain regional haze requirements. The revisions to the regional haze program for the second and subsequent implementation periods focused on the requirement that States' SIPs contain long-term strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. The reasonable progress requirements as revised in the 2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the 2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40 CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes, the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the deadline for States to submit their second implementation period SIPs from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021, clarified the order of analysis and the relationship between RPGs and the long-term strategy, and focused on making visibility improvements on the days with the most anthropogenic visibility impairment, as opposed to the days with the most visibility impairment overall. The EPA also revised requirements of the visibility protection program related to periodic progress reports and FLM consultation. The specific requirements applicable to second implementation period regional haze SIP submissions are addressed in detail below.

    The EPA provided guidance to the states for their second implementation period SIP submissions in the preamble to the 2017 RHR Revisions as well as in subsequent, stand-alone guidance documents. In August 2019, the EPA issued “Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period” (“2019 Guidance”). On July 8, 2021, the EPA issued a memorandum containing “Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period” (“2021 Clarifications Memo”). Additionally, the EPA further clarified the recommended procedures for processing ambient visibility data and optionally adjusting the URP to account for international anthropogenic and prescribed fire impacts in two technical guidance documents: the December 2018 “Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program” (“2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance”), and the June 2020 “Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program” and associated Technical Addendum (“2020 Data Completeness Memo”).

    Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019).

    Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).

    Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibility-progress-second-implementation-period-regional The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park. (December 20, 2018).

    Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (June 3, 2020).

    As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends the second implementation period of the regional haze program to secure meaningful reductions in visibility impairing pollutants that build on the significant progress states have achieved to date. The Agency also recognizes that analyses regarding reasonable progress are State-specific and that, based on states' and sources' individual circumstances, what constitutes reasonable reductions in visibility impairing pollutants will vary from State-to-State. While there exist many opportunities for states to leverage both ongoing and upcoming emission reductions under other CAA programs, the Agency expects states to undertake rigorous reasonable progress analyses that identify further opportunities to advance the national visibility goal consistent with the statutory and regulatory requirements. See generally 2021 Clarifications Memo. This is consistent with Congress's determination that a visibility protection program is needed in addition to the CAA's National Ambient Air Quality Standards and Prevention of Significant Deterioration programs, as further emission reductions may be necessary to adequately protect visibility in Class I areas throughout the country.

    See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95-294 at 205 (“In determining how to best remedy the growing visibility problem in these areas of great scenic importance, the committee realizes that as a matter of equity, the national ambient air quality standards cannot be revised to adequately protect visibility in all areas of the country.”), (“the mandatory class I increments of [the PSD program] do not adequately protect visibility in class I areas”).

    B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze

    Because the air pollutants and pollution affecting visibility in Class I areas can be transported over long distances, successful implementation of the regional haze program requires long-term, regional coordination among multiple jurisdictions and agencies that have responsibility for Class I areas and the emissions that impact visibility in those areas. To address regional haze, states need to develop strategies in coordination with one another, considering the effect of emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in another. Five regional planning organizations (RPOs), which include representation from State and Tribal governments, the EPA, and FLMs, were developed in the lead-up to the first implementation period to address regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical information to better understand how emissions from State and Tribal land impact Class I areas across the country, pursue the development of regional strategies to reduce emissions of particulate matter and other pollutants leading to regional haze, and help states meet the consultation requirements of the RHR.

    RPOs are sometimes also referred to as “multi-jurisdictional organizations,” or MJOs. For the purposes of this notice, the terms RPO and MJO are synonymous.

    The Central Regional Air Planning Association (CenRAP), one of the five RPOs described above, that Texas was a member of during the first planning period, was a collaborative effort of State governments, Tribal governments, and Federal agencies established to initiate and coordinate activities associated with the management of regional haze, visibility, and other air quality issues in parts of the Great Plains, Midwest, Southwest, and South Regions of the United States.

    After the first planning period SIPs were submitted, the planning was shifted to the Central State Air Resources Agencies (CenSARA). CenSARA was established to promote the exchange of air quality information, knowledge, experience, and data among and between participating organizations and other interested parties. It supports the membership with training and policy and technical projects. CenSARA supports and promotes collaborative efforts of State governments to initiate and coordinate activities associated with the management of regional haze and other air quality issues in parts of the Great Plains, Midwest, Southwest, and South Regions of the United States. Member states include: Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas. Unlike CenRAP, CenSARA has solely State and local government members. However, CenSARA does reach out to Tribal and Federal partners. The Federal partners of CenSARA are the EPA, the NPS, the FWS, and FS.

    III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation Period

    Under the CAA and EPA's regulations, all 50 States, the District of Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands are required to submit regional haze SIPs satisfying the applicable requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze program by July 31, 2021. Each state's SIP must contain a long-term strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal of remedying any existing and preventing any future anthropogenic visibility impairment in Class I areas. CAA 169A(b)(2)(B). To this end, § 51.308(f) lays out the process by which states determine what constitutes their long-term strategies, with the order of the requirements in § 51.308(f)(1) through (f)(3) generally mirroring the order of the steps in the reasonable progress analysis and (f)(4) through (f)(6) containing additional, related requirements. Broadly speaking, a State first must identify the Class I areas within the State and determine the Class I areas outside the State in which visibility may be affected by emissions from the State. These are the Class I areas that must be addressed in the state's long-term strategy. See 40 CFR 51.308(f), (f)(2). For each Class I area within its borders, a State must then calculate the baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions for that area, as well as the visibility improvement made to date and the URP. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1). Each State having a Class I area and/or emissions that may affect visibility in a Class I area must then develop a long-term strategy that includes the enforceable emission limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress in such areas. A reasonable progress determination is based on applying the four factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) to sources of visibility impairing pollutants that the State has selected to assess for controls for the second implementation period. Additionally, as further explained below, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five “additional factors” that states must consider in developing their long-term strategies. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). A State evaluates potential emission reduction measures for those selected sources and determines which are necessary to make reasonable progress. Those measures are then incorporated into the state's long-term strategy. After a State has developed its long-term strategy, it then establishes RPGs for each Class I area within its borders by modeling the visibility impacts of all reasonable progress controls at the end of the second implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as well as the impacts of other requirements of the CAA. The RPGs include reasonable progress controls not only for sources in the State in which the Class I area is located, but also for sources in other states that contribute to visibility impairment in that area. The RPGs are then compared to the baseline visibility conditions and the URP to ensure that progress is being made towards the statutory goal of preventing any future and remedying any existing anthropogenic visibility impairment in Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)-(3).

    The EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that we were adopting new regulatory language in 40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike the structure in 51.308(d), “tracked the actual planning sequence.” (82 FR 3091, January 10, 2017).

    The five “additional factors” for consideration in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable progress.

    In addition to satisfying the requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f) related to reasonable progress, the regional haze SIP revisions for the second implementation period must address the requirements in § 51.308(g)(1) through (5) pertaining to periodic reports describing progress towards the RPGs, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5), as well as requirements for FLM consultation that apply to all visibility protection SIPs and SIP revisions. 40 CFR 51.308(i).

    A State must submit its regional haze SIP and subsequent SIP revisions to the EPA according to the requirements applicable to all SIP revisions under the CAA and EPA's regulations. See CAA 169A(b)(2); CAA 110(a). Upon EPA approval, a SIP is enforceable by the Agency and the public under the CAA. If EPA finds that a State fails to make a required SIP revision, or if the EPA finds that a state's SIP is incomplete or disapproves the SIP, the Agency must promulgate a federal implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies the applicable requirements. CAA 110(c)(1).

    A. Identification of Class I Areas

    The first step in developing a regional haze SIP is for a State to determine which Class I areas, in addition to those within its borders, “may be affected” by emissions from within the State. In the 1999 RHR, the EPA determined that all states contribute to visibility impairment in at least one Class I area, 64 FR at 35720-22, and explained that the statute and regulations lay out an “extremely low triggering threshold” for determining “whether States should be required to engage in air quality planning and analysis as a prerequisite to determining the need for control of emissions from sources within their State.” Id. at 35721.

    A State must determine which Class I areas must be addressed by its SIP by evaluating the total emissions of visibility impairing pollutants from all sources within the State. While the RHR does not require this evaluation to be conducted in any particular manner, EPA's 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for how such an assessment might be accomplished, including by, where appropriate, using the determinations previously made for the first implementation period. 2019 Guidance at 8-9. In addition, the determination of which Class I areas may be affected by a state's emissions is subject to the requirement in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) to “document the technical basis, including modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information, on which the State is relying to determine the emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress in each mandatory Class I Federal area it affects.”

    B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress

    As part of assessing whether a SIP submission for the second implementation period is providing for reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal, the RHR contains requirements in § 51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility improvement over time. The requirements of this subsection apply only to states having Class I areas within their borders; the required calculations must be made for each such Class I area. EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance provides recommendations to assist states in satisfying their obligations under § 51.308(f)(1); specifically, in developing information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions, and in making optional adjustments to the URP to account for the impacts of international anthropogenic emissions and prescribed fires. See 82 FR at 3103-05.

    The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance references and relies on parts of the 2003 Tracking Guidance: “Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule,” which can be found at https://www3.epa.gov/ttnamti1/files/ambient/visible/tracking.pdf.

    The RHR requires tracking of visibility conditions on two sets of days: the clearest and the most impaired days. Visibility conditions for both sets of days are expressed as the average deciview index for the relevant five-year period (the period representing baseline or current visibility conditions). The RHR provides that the relevant sets of days for visibility tracking purposes are the 20% clearest (the 20% of monitored days in a calendar year with the lowest values of the deciview index) and 20% most impaired days (the 20% of monitored days in a calendar year with the highest amounts of anthropogenic visibility impairment). 40 CFR 51.301. A State must calculate visibility conditions for both the 20% clearest and 20% most impaired days for the baseline period of 2000-2004 and the most recent five-year period for which visibility monitoring data are available (representing current visibility conditions). 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii). States must also calculate natural visibility conditions for the clearest and most impaired days, by estimating the conditions that would exist on those two sets of days absent anthropogenic visibility impairment. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii). Using all these data, states must then calculate, for each Class I area, the amount of progress made since the baseline period (2000-2004) and how much improvement is left to achieve to reach natural visibility conditions.

    This notice also refers to the 20% clearest and 20% most anthropogenically impaired days as the “clearest” and “most impaired” or “most anthropogenically impaired” days, respectively.

    The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an error related to the requirement for calculating two sets of natural conditions values. The rule says “most impaired days or the clearest days” where it should say “most impaired days and clearest days.” This is an error that was intended to be corrected in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected in the final rule language. This is supported by the preamble text at 82 FR 3098: “In the final version of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of “or” has been corrected to “and” to indicate that natural visibility conditions for both the most impaired days and the clearest days must be based on available monitoring information.”

    Using the data for the set of most impaired days only, states must plot a line between visibility conditions in the baseline period and natural visibility conditions for each Class I area to determine the URP—the amount of visibility improvement, measured in deciviews, that would need to be achieved during each implementation period to achieve natural visibility conditions by the end of 2064. The URP is used in later steps of the reasonable progress analysis for informational purposes and to provide a non-enforceable benchmark against which to assess a Class I area's rate of visibility improvement. Additionally, in the 2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided states the option of proposing to adjust the endpoint of the URP to account for impacts of anthropogenic sources outside the United States and/or impacts of certain types of wildland prescribed fires. These adjustments, which must be approved by the EPA, are intended to avoid any perception that states should compensate for impacts from international anthropogenic sources and to give states the flexibility to determine that limiting the use of wildland-prescribed fire is not necessary for reasonable progress. 82 FR 3107 footnote 116.

    Being on or below the URP is not a “safe harbor”; i.e., achieving the URP does not mean that a Class I area is making “reasonable progress” and does not relieve a state from using the four statutory factors to determine what level of control is needed to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR at 3093.

    The EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance can be used to help satisfy the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements, including in developing information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions, and in making optional adjustments to the URP. In addition, the 2020 Data Completeness Memo provides recommendations on the data completeness language referenced in § 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides updated natural conditions estimates for each Class I area.

    C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze

    The core component of a regional haze SIP submission is a long-term strategy that addresses regional haze in each Class I area within a state's borders and each Class I area that may be affected by emissions from the State. The long-term strategy “must include the enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress, as determined pursuant to (f)(2)(i) through (iv).” 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). The amount of progress that is “reasonable progress” is based on applying the four statutory factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of potential control options for sources of visibility impairing pollutants, which is referred to as a “four-factor” analysis. The outcome of that analysis is the emission reduction measures that a particular source or group of sources needs to implement to make reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). Emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress may be either new, additional control measures for a source, or they may be the existing emission reduction measures that a source is already implementing. See 2019 Guidance at 43; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 8-10. Such measures must be represented by “enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures” ( i.e., any additional compliance tools) in a state's long-term strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).

    Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the requirements for the four-factor analysis. The first step of this analysis entails selecting the sources to be evaluated for emission reduction measures; to this end, the RHR requires states to consider “major and minor stationary sources or groups of sources, mobile sources, and area sources” of visibility impairing pollutants for potential four-factor control analysis. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). A threshold question at this step is which visibility impairing pollutants will be analyzed. As EPA previously explained, consistent with the first implementation period, EPA generally expects that each State will analyze at least SO2 and NOX in selecting sources and determining control measures. See 2019 Guidance at 12; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4. A State that chooses not to consider at least these two pollutants should demonstrate why such consideration would be unreasonable. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4.

    While states have the option to analyze all sources, the 2019 Guidance explains that “an analysis of control measures is not required for every source in each implementation period,” and that “[s]electing a set of sources for analysis of control measures in each implementation period is . . . consistent with the Regional Haze Rule, which sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that a State may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in a given SIP revision.” 2019 Guidance at 9. However, given that source selection is the basis of all subsequent control determinations, a reasonable source selection process “should be designed and conducted to ensure that source selection results in a set of pollutants and sources the evaluation of which has the potential to meaningfully reduce their contributions to visibility impairment.” 2021 Clarifications Memo at 3.

    EPA explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo that each State has an obligation to submit a long-term strategy that addresses the regional haze visibility impairment that results from emissions from within that State. Thus, source selection should focus on the in-state contribution to visibility impairment and be designed to capture a meaningful portion of the state's total contribution to visibility impairment in Class I areas. A State should not decline to select its largest in-state sources on the basis that there are even larger out-of-state contributors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4.

    Similarly, in responding to comments on the 2017 RHR Revisions the EPA explained that “[a] state should not fail to address its many relatively low-impact sources merely because it only has such sources and another state has even more low-impact sources and/or some high impact sources.” Responses to Comments on Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016) at 87-88.

    Thus, while states have discretion to choose any source selection methodology that is reasonable, whatever choices they make should be reasonably explained. To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that a state's SIP submission include “a description of the criteria it used to determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated.” The technical basis for source selection, which may include methods for quantifying potential visibility impacts such as emissions divided by distance metrics, trajectory analyses, residence time analyses, and/or photochemical modeling, must also be appropriately documented, as required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).

    Once a State has selected the set of sources, the next step is to determine the emissions reduction measures for those sources that are necessary to make reasonable progress for the second implementation period. This is accomplished by considering the four factors—“the costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, and the energy and nonair quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such requirements.” CAA 169A(g)(1). The EPA has explained that the four-factor analysis is an assessment of potential emission reduction measures ( i.e., control options) for sources; “use of the terms `compliance' and `subject to such requirements' in section 169A(g)(1) strongly indicates that Congress intended the relevant determination to be the requirements with which sources would have to comply to satisfy the CAA's reasonable progress mandate.” 82 FR at 3091. Thus, for each source it has selected for four-factor analysis, a State must consider a “meaningful set” of technically feasible control options for reducing emissions of visibility impairing pollutants. Id. at 3088. The 2019 Guidance provides that “[a] State must reasonably pick and justify the measures that it will consider, recognizing that there is no statutory or regulatory requirement to consider all technically feasible measures or any particular measures. A range of technically feasible measures available to reduce emissions would be one way to justify a reasonable set.” 2019 Guidance at 29.

    The CAA provides that, “[i]n determining reasonable progress there shall be taken into consideration” the four statutory factors. CAA 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-factor analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or source categories, a state may also consider additional emission reduction measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules and measures for sources not selected for four-factor analysis for the second planning period.

    “Each source” or “particular source” is used here as shorthand. While a source-specific analysis is one way of applying the four factors, neither the statute nor the RHR requires states to evaluate individual sources. Rather, states have “the flexibility to conduct four-factor analyses for specific sources, groups of sources or even entire source categories, depending on state policy preferences and the specific circumstances of each state.” 82 FR at 3088. However, not all approaches to grouping sources for four-factor analysis are necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of grouping sources in any particular instance will depend on the circumstances and the manner in which grouping is conducted. If it is feasible to establish and enforce different requirements for sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant factors can be quantified for those sources or subgroups, then states should make a separate reasonable progress determination for each source or subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7-8.

    EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further guidance on what constitutes a reasonable set of control options for consideration: “A reasonable four-factor analysis will consider the full range of potentially reasonable options for reducing emissions.” 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7. In addition to add-on controls and other retrofits ( i.e., new emissions reduction measures for sources), EPA explained that states should generally analyze efficiency improvements for sources' existing measures as control options in their four-factor analyses, as in many cases such improvements are reasonable given that they typically involve only additional operation and maintenance costs. Additionally, the 2021 Clarifications Memo provides that states that have assumed a higher emissions rate than a source has achieved or could potentially achieve using its existing measures should also consider lower emissions rates as potential control options. That is, a State should consider a source's recent actual and projected emission rates to determine if it could reasonably attain lower emission rates with its existing measures. If so, the State should analyze the lower emission rate as a control option for reducing emissions. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7. The EPA's recommendations to analyze potential efficiency improvements and achievable lower emission rates apply to both sources that have been selected for four-factor analysis and those that have forgone a four-factor analysis on the basis of existing “effective controls.” See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 5, 10.

    After identifying a reasonable set of potential control options for the sources it has selected, a State then collects information on the four factors with regard to each option identified. The EPA has also explained that, in addition to the four statutory factors, states have flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider visibility benefits as an additional factor alongside the four statutory factors. The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for the types of information that can be used to characterize the four factors (with or without visibility), as well as ways in which states might reasonably consider and balance that information to determine which of the potential control options is necessary to make reasonable progress. See 2019 Guidance at 30-36. The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains further guidance on how states can reasonably consider modeled visibility impacts or benefits in the context of a four-factor analysis. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 12-13, 14-15. Specifically, the EPA explained that while visibility can reasonably be used when comparing and choosing between multiple reasonable control options, it should not be used to summarily reject controls that are reasonable given the four statutory factors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13. Ultimately, while states have discretion to reasonably weigh the factors and to determine what level of control is needed, § 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides that a State “must include in its implementation plan a description of . . . how the four factors were taken into consideration in selecting the measure for inclusion in its long-term strategy.”

    See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016) (December 2016), Docket Number EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0531, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019 Guidance at 36-37.

    As explained above, § 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to determine the emission reduction measures for sources that are necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four factors. Pursuant to § 51.308(f)(2), measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal must be included in a state's long-term strategy and in its SIP. If the outcome of a four-factor analysis is a new, additional emission reduction measure for a source, that new measure is necessary to make reasonable progress towards remedying existing anthropogenic visibility impairment and must be included in the SIP. If the outcome of a four-factor analysis is that no new measures are reasonable for a source, continued implementation of the source's existing measures is generally necessary to prevent future emission increases and thus to make reasonable progress towards the second part of the national visibility goal: preventing future anthropogenic visibility impairment. See CAA 169A(a)(1). That is, when the result of a four-factor analysis is that no new measures are necessary to make reasonable progress, the source's existing measures are generally necessary to make reasonable progress and must be included in the SIP. However, there may be circumstances in which a State can demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress. Specifically, if a State can demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its existing measures and will not increase its emissions rate, it may not be necessary to have those measures in the long-term strategy to prevent future emissions increases and future visibility impairment. The EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further explanation and guidance on how states may demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 8-10. If the State can make such a demonstration, it need not include a source's existing measures in the long-term strategy or its SIP.

    States may choose to, but are not required to, include measures in their long-term strategies beyond just the emission reduction measures that are necessary for reasonable progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 16. For example, states with smoke management programs may choose to submit their smoke management plans to the EPA for inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to do so. See, e.g., 82 FR at 3108-09 (requirement to consider smoke management practices and smoke management programs under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such practices or programs into their SIPs, although they may elect to do so).

    As with source selection, the characterization of information on each of the factors is also subject to the documentation requirement in § 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress analysis, including source selection, information gathering, characterization of the four statutory factors (and potentially visibility), balancing of the four factors, and selection of the emission reduction measures that represent reasonable progress, is a technically complex exercise, but also a flexible one that provides states with bounded discretion to design and implement approaches appropriate to their circumstances. Given this flexibility, § 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays an important function in requiring a State to document the technical basis for its decision making so that the public and the EPA can comprehend and evaluate the information and analysis the State relied upon to determine what emission reduction measures must be in place to make reasonable progress. The technical documentation must include the modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information on which the State relied to determine the measures necessary to make reasonable progress. This documentation requirement can be met through the provision of and reliance on technical analyses developed through a regional planning process, so long as that process and its output has been approved by all State participants. In addition to the explicit regulatory requirement to document the technical basis of their reasonable progress determinations, states are also subject to the general principle that those determinations must be reasonably moored to the statute. That is, a state's decisions about the emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress must be consistent with the statutory goal of remedying existing and preventing future visibility impairment.

    See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 531 (9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA, 812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir. 2016); North Dakota v. EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013); Oklahoma v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208-10 (10th Cir. 2013); cf. also Nat'l Parks Conservation Ass'n v. EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep't of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S. 461, 485, 490 (2004).

    The four statutory factors (and potentially visibility) are used to determine what emission reduction measures for selected sources must be included in a state's long-term strategy for making reasonable progress. Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five “additional factors” that states must consider in developing their long-term strategies: (1) Emission reductions due to ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to address reasonably attributable visibility impairment; (2) measures to reduce the impacts of construction activities; (3) source retirement and replacement schedules; (4) basic smoke management practices for prescribed fire used for agricultural and wildland vegetation management purposes and smoke management programs; and (5) the anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point, area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the long-term strategy. The 2019 Guidance provides that a State may satisfy this requirement by considering these additional factors in the process of selecting sources for four-factor analysis, when performing that analysis, or both, and that not every one of the additional factors needs to be considered at the same stage of the process. See 2019 Guidance at 21. The EPA provided further guidance on the five additional factors in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, explaining that a State should generally not reject cost-effective and otherwise reasonable controls merely because there have been emission reductions since the first planning period owing to other ongoing air pollution control programs or merely because visibility is otherwise projected to improve at Class I areas. Additionally, states generally should not rely on these additional factors to summarily assert that the State has already made sufficient progress and, therefore, no sources need to be selected or no new controls are needed regardless of the outcome of four-factor analyses. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13.

    The five “additional factors” for consideration in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable progress.

    Because the air pollution that causes regional haze crosses State boundaries, § 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a State to consult with other states that also have emissions that are reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area. Consultation allows for each State that impacts visibility in an area to share whatever technical information, analyses, and control determinations may be necessary to develop coordinated emission management strategies. This coordination may be managed through inter- and intra-RPO consultation and the development of regional emissions strategies; additional consultations between states outside of RPO processes may also occur. If a State, pursuant to consultation, agrees that certain measures ( e.g., a certain emission limitation) are necessary to make reasonable progress at a Class I area, it must include those measures in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A). Additionally, the RHR requires that states that contribute to visibility impairment at the same Class I area consider the emission reduction measures the other contributing states have identified as being necessary to make reasonable progress for their own sources. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B). If a State has been asked to consider or adopt certain emission reduction measures, but ultimately determines those measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress, that State must document in its SIP the actions taken to resolve the disagreement. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C). The EPA will consider the technical information and explanations presented by the submitting State and the State with which it disagrees when considering whether to approve the state's SIP. See Id.; 2019 Guidance at 53. Under all circumstances, a State must document in its SIP submission all substantive consultations with other contributing states. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).

    D. Reasonable Progress Goals

    Reasonable progress goals “measure the progress that is projected to be achieved by the control measures states have determined are necessary to make reasonable progress based on a four-factor analysis.” 82 FR at 3091. Their primary purpose is to assist the public and the EPA in assessing the reasonableness of states' long-term strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii)-(iv). States in which Class I areas are located must establish two RPGs, both in deciviews—one representing visibility conditions on the clearest days and one representing visibility on the most anthropogenically impaired days—for each area within their borders. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i). The two RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts, on the two sets of days, of the emission reduction measures the State with the Class I area, as well as all other contributing states, have included in their long-term strategies for the second implementation period. The RPGs also account for the projected impacts of implementing other CAA requirements, including non-SIP based requirements. Because RPGs are the modeled result of the measures in states' long-term strategies (as well as other measures required under the CAA), they cannot be determined before states have conducted their four-factor analyses and determined the control measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 6.

    RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts of the measures all contributing states include in their long-term strategies. However, due to the timing of analyses and of control determinations by other states, other on-going emissions changes, a particular state's RPGs may not reflect all control measures and emissions reductions that are expected to occur by the end of the implementation period. The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for addressing the timing of RPG calculations when states are developing their long-term strategies on disparate schedules, as well as for adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling approach. 2019 Guidance at 47-48.

    For the second implementation period, the RPGs are set for 2028. Reasonable progress goals are not enforceable targets, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii); rather, they “provide a way for the states to check the projected outcome of the [long-term strategy] against the goals for visibility improvement.” 2019 Guidance at 46. While states are not legally obligated to achieve the visibility conditions described in their RPGs, § 51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that “[t]he long-term strategy and the reasonable progress goals must provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days since the baseline period and ensure no degradation in visibility for the clearest days since the baseline period.” Thus, states are required to have emission reduction measures in their long-term strategies that are projected to achieve visibility conditions on the most impaired days that are better than the baseline period and shows no degradation on the clearest days compared to the clearest days from the baseline period. The baseline period for the purpose of this comparison is the baseline visibility condition—the annual average visibility condition for the period 2000-2004. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR at 3097-98.

    So that RPGs may also serve as a metric for assessing the amount of progress a State is making towards the national visibility goal, the RHR requires states with Class I areas to compare the 2028 RPG for the most impaired days to the corresponding point on the URP line (representing visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility were to improve at a linear rate from conditions in the baseline period of 2000-2004 to natural visibility conditions in 2064). If the most impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the URP ( i.e., if visibility conditions are improving more slowly than the rate described by the URP), each State that contributes to visibility impairment in the Class I area must demonstrate, based on the four-factor analysis required under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no additional emission reduction measures would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii). To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires that each State contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area that is projected to improve more slowly than the URP provide “a robust demonstration, including documenting the criteria used to determine which sources or groups [of] sources were evaluated and how the four factors required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were taken into consideration in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy.” The 2019 Guidance provides suggestions about how such a “robust demonstration” might be conducted. See 2019 Guidance at 50-51.

    The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and 2021 Clarifications Memo also explain that projecting an RPG that is on or below the URP based on only on-the-books and/or on-the-way control measures ( i.e., control measures already required or anticipated before the four-factor analysis is conducted) is not a “safe harbor” from the CAA's and RHR's requirement that all states must conduct a four-factor analysis to determine what emission reduction measures constitute reasonable progress. The URP is a planning metric used to gauge the amount of progress made thus far and the amount left before reaching natural visibility conditions. However, the URP is not based on consideration of the four statutory factors and therefore cannot answer the question of whether the amount of progress being made in any particular implementation period is “reasonable progress.” See 82 FR at 3093, 3099-3100; 2019 Guidance at 22; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 15-16.

    E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements

    Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to have certain strategies and elements in place for assessing and reporting on visibility. Individual requirements under this subsection apply either to states with Class I areas within their borders, states with no Class I areas but that are reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I area, or both. A State with Class I areas within its borders must submit with its SIP revision a monitoring strategy for measuring, characterizing, and reporting regional haze visibility impairment that is representative of all Class I areas within the State. SIP revisions for such states must also provide for the establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to assess visibility conditions in Class I areas, as well as reporting of all visibility monitoring data to the EPA at least annually. Compliance with the monitoring strategy requirement may be met through a state's participation in the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring network, which is used to measure visibility impairment caused by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas covered by the visibility program. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i), (f)(6)(iv). The IMPROVE monitoring data is used to determine the 20% most anthropogenically impaired and 20% clearest sets of days every year at each Class I area and tracks visibility impairment over time.

    All states' SIPs must provide for procedures by which monitoring data and other information are used to determine the contribution of emissions from within the State to regional haze visibility impairment in affected Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii). Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) further requires that all states' SIPs provide for a statewide inventory of emissions of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I area; the inventory must include emissions for the most recent year for which data are available and estimates of future projected emissions. States must also include commitments to update their inventories periodically. The inventories themselves do not need to be included as elements in the SIP and are not subject to EPA review as part of the Agency's evaluation of a SIP revision. All states' SIPs must also provide for any other elements, including reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures, that are necessary for states to assess and report on visibility. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). Per the 2019 Guidance, a State may note in its regional haze SIP that its compliance with the Air Emissions Reporting Rule (AERR) in 40 CFR part 51 subpart A satisfies the requirement to provide for an emissions inventory for the most recent year for which data are available. To satisfy the requirement to provide estimates of future projected emissions, a State may explain in its SIP how projected emissions were developed for use in establishing RPGs for its own and nearby Class I areas.

    See “Step 8: Additional requirements for regional haze SIPs” in 2019 Guidance at 55.

    Id.

    Separate from the requirements related to monitoring for regional haze purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the RHR also contains a requirement at § 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional monitoring that may be needed to address visibility impairment in Class I areas from a single source or a small group of sources. This is called “reasonably attributable visibility impairment.” Under this provision, if the EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I area has advised a State that additional monitoring is needed to assess reasonably attributable visibility impairment, the State must include in its SIP revision for the second implementation period an appropriate strategy for evaluating such impairment.

    The EPA's visibility protection regulations define “reasonably attributable visibility impairment” as “visibility impairment that is caused by the emission of air pollutants from one, or a small number of sources.” 40 CFR 51.301.

    F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the Reasonable Progress Goals

    Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state's regional haze SIP revision to address the requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through (5) so that the plan revision due in 2021 will serve also as a progress report addressing the period since submission of the progress report for the first implementation period. The regional haze progress report requirement is designed to inform the public and the EPA about a state's implementation of its existing long-term strategy and whether such implementation is in fact resulting in the expected visibility improvement. See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016); 82 FR at 3119 (January 10, 2017). To this end, every state's SIP revision for the second implementation period is required to describe the status of implementation of all measures included in the state's long-term strategy, including BART and reasonable progress emission reduction measures from the first implementation period, and the resulting emissions reductions. 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).

    A core component of the progress report requirements is an assessment of changes in visibility conditions on the clearest and most impaired days. For second implementation period progress reports, § 51.308(g)(3) requires states with Class I areas within their borders to first determine current visibility conditions for each area on the most impaired and clearest days, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i)(B), and then to calculate the difference between those current conditions and baseline (2000-2004) visibility conditions to assess progress made to date. See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii)(B). States must also assess the changes in visibility impairment for the most impaired and clearest days since they submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii)(B), (f)(5). Since different states submitted their first implementation period progress reports at different times, the starting point for this assessment will vary State by State.

    Similarly, states must provide analyses tracking the change in emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility impairment from all sources and activities within the State over the period since they submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5). Changes in emissions should be identified by the type of source or activity. Section 51.308(g)(5) also addresses changes in emissions since the period addressed by the previous progress report and requires states' SIP revisions to include an assessment of any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside the State. This assessment must explain whether these changes in emissions were anticipated and whether they have limited or impeded progress in reducing emissions and improving visibility relative to what the State projected based on its long-term strategy for the first implementation period.

    G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination

    Clean Air Act section 169A(d) requires that before a State holds a public hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it must consult with the appropriate FLM or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation, the State must include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in the notice to the public. Consistent with this statutory requirement, the RHR also requires that states “provide the [FLM] with an opportunity for consultation, in person and at a point early enough in the State's policy analyses of its long-term strategy emission reduction obligation so that information and recommendations provided by the [FLM] can meaningfully inform the State's decisions on the long-term strategy.” 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). Consultation that occurs 120 days prior to any public hearing or public comment opportunity will be deemed “early enough,” but the RHR provides that in any event the opportunity for consultation must be provided at least 60 days before a public hearing or comment opportunity. This consultation must include the opportunity for the FLMs to discuss their assessment of visibility impairment in any Class I area and their recommendations on the development and implementation of strategies to address such impairment. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). For the EPA to evaluate whether FLM consultation meeting the requirements of the RHR has occurred, the SIP submission should include documentation of the timing and content of such consultation. The SIP revision submitted to the EPA must also describe how the State addressed any comments provided by the FLMs. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3). Finally, a SIP revision must provide procedures for continuing consultation between the State and FLMs regarding the state's visibility protection program, including development and review of SIP revisions, five-year progress reports, and the implementation of other programs having the potential to contribute to impairment of visibility in Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).

    IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Texas's Regional Haze Submission for the Second Implementation Period

    A. Background on Texas's First Implementation Period SIP Submission

    Texas submitted its regional haze SIP for the first implementation period to the EPA on March 31, 2009. The EPA issued a limited disapproval of Texas's RH SIP on June 7, 2012, due to its reliance on the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) to address BART requirements for Texas electric generating units (EGUs). The EPA proposed a rule to partially approve and partially disapprove Texas's SIP on December 16, 2014; however, due to a related ruling from the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit (D.C. Circuit), the EPA could not finalize the December 2014 proposal in its entirety. As such, the EPA's obligations for the first implementation period for Texas's regional haze SIP were addressed in two separate actions. One action, finalized on January 5, 2016, addressed the regional haze requirements in Texas except for BART requirements for EGUs. The second action, finalized on October 17, 2017, and affirmed on August 12, 2020, addressed BART requirements for Texas EGUs. The EPA has convened separate reconsideration proceedings for both actions. While these proceedings remain ongoing, they do not interfere with the EPA's statutory obligation to take action on Texas's SIP revision for the second implementation period.

    77 FR 33642 (June 7, 2012).

    79 FR 74818 (Dec. 16, 2014).

    EME Homer City Generation, L.P v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118 (D.C. Cir. 2015).

    81 FR 296 (Jan. 5, 2016). In July 2016, the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals issued a stay of the action. Texas v. EPA, 829 F.3d 405 (5th Cir. 2016). Subsequent to the stay opinion, the EPA requested and the court granted EPA's motion for a partial voluntary remand.

    See82 FR 48324 (Oct. 17, 2017); 85 FR 49170 (Aug. 12, 2020).

    See88 FR 28918 (May 4, 2023); 88 FR 48152 (July 26, 2023).

    EPA is not precluded from acting on a submitted second planning period SIP revision because reconsideration proceedings on first planning period actions remains ongoing. All states had an obligation to submit second planning period SIP revisions by July 31, 2021, regardless of the status of first planning period obligations. After a second planning period SIP revision is submitted to EPA for review, EPA is statutorily required to review and act on that plan within 12 months of the submittal being deemed complete. See CAA 110(k)(1); 42 U.S.C. 7410(k)(1). Even with ongoing work on the second planning period, EPA will continue to work to address first planning period obligations.

    The requirements for regional haze SIPs for the first implementation period are contained in 40 CFR 51.308(d) and (e). Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(g), Texas was also responsible for submitting a five-year progress report as a SIP revision for the first implementation period, which it did in 2014.

    The EPA has not yet taken action on the progress report SIP.

    B. Texas's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and the EPA's Evaluation

    In accordance with CAA sections 169A and the RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f) and (i), on July 20, 2021, Texas submitted a SIP revision to address its regional haze obligations for the second implementation period, which runs through 2028. Texas made its 2021 Regional Haze SIP submission available for public comment on October 9, 2020. Texas received and responded to public comments and included the comments and responses to those comments in their submission.

    The following sections describe Texas's RH SIP submission, Texas's assessment of progress made since the first implementation period in reducing emissions of visibility impairing pollutants, and the visibility improvement progress at its Class I areas and nearby Class I areas. This notice also contains EPA's evaluation of Texas's submission against the requirements of the CAA and RHR for the second implementation period of the regional haze program.

    C. Identification of Class I Areas

    Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA requires each State in which any Class I area is located or “the emissions from which may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility” in a Class I area to have a plan for making reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal. The RHR implements this statutory requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f), which provides that each state's plan “must address regional haze in each mandatory Class I Federal area located within the State and in each mandatory Class I Federal area located outside the State that may be affected by emissions from within the State,” and (f)(2), which requires each state's plan to include a long-term strategy that addresses regional haze in such Class I areas.

    The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR preamble that the CAA section 169A(b)(2) requirement that states submit SIPs to address visibility impairment establishes “an `extremely low triggering threshold' in determining which States should submit SIPs for regional haze.” In concluding that each of the contiguous 48 States and the District of Columbia meet this threshold, the EPA relied on “a large body of evidence demonstrat[ing] that long-range transport of fine PM contributes to regional haze,” including modeling studies that “preliminarily demonstrated that each State not having a Class I area had emissions contributing to impairment in at least one downwind Class I area.” In addition to the technical evidence supporting a conclusion that each State contributes to existing visibility impairment, the EPA also explained that the second half of the national visibility goal—preventing future visibility impairment—requires having a framework in place to address future growth in visibility impairing emissions and makes it inappropriate to “establish criteria for excluding States or geographic areas from consideration as potential contributors to regional haze visibility impairment.” Thus, the EPA concluded that the agency's “statutory authority and the scientific evidence are sufficient to require all States to develop regional haze SIPs to ensure the prevention of any future impairment of visibility, and to conduct further analyses to determine whether additional control measures are needed to ensure reasonable progress in remedying existing impairment in downwind Class I areas.” The EPA's 2017 revisions to the RHR did not disturb this conclusion.

    64 FR at 35721.

    The EPA determined that “there is more than sufficient evidence to support our conclusion that emissions from each of the 48 contiguous States may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area.” 64 FR at 35721. Hawaii, Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin Islands must also submit regional haze SIPs because they contain Class I areas.

    Id.

    Id. at 35722.

    Id. at 35721.

    Id. at 35722.

    See 82 FR at 3094.

    1. Texas Class I Areas

    Texas has two mandatory Class I areas within its borders, both of which are located in west Texas. Big Bend National Park (Big Bend) is in Brewster County and borders the Rio Grande and Mexico. Guadalupe Mountains National Park (Guadalupe Mountains) is in Culberson County and borders New Mexico. Both are managed by the National Park Service.

    Big Bend was authorized as a national park on June 20, 1935, and established and signed into law on June 12, 1944, as the nation's 27th national park. Big Bend encompasses an area of 801,163 acres, entirely within Brewster County, Texas. For more than 1,000 miles, the Rio Grande forms the boundary between Mexico and the U.S., with Big Bend administering approximately 118 miles along the international boundary. The park gets its name from the course of the Rio Grande, which makes a great bend from a southeasterly to northerly direction in the western portion of Texas. Big Bend has national significance as the largest protected area of Chihuahuan Desert in the continental U.S. The park contains river, desert, and mountain environments.

    Guadalupe Mountains was established as a national park on September 30, 1972, and contains Guadalupe Peak, the highest point in Texas at 8,749 feet, and El Capitan, a 1,000 foot-high limestone cliff. Guadalupe Mountains are also part of a mostly buried 400-mile long U-shaped fossil reef complex, Capitan Reef. The park covers more than 86,000 acres and is in the same mountain range of Carlsbad Caverns National Park, which is located about 40 miles to the northeast in New Mexico. Guadalupe Mountains is also located in the Chihuahuan Desert. The park is surrounded by the South Plains to the east and north, Delaware Mountains to the south, and Sacramento Mountains to the west.

    2. Identification of Impacted Class I Areas Outside the State

    In addition to the two Class I areas in Texas, the TCEQ conducted area of influence analyses (AOIs) paired with emissions-over-distance (Q/d) analyses for 11 Class I areas in other states including Louisiana, Arkansas, Colorado, Missouri, Oklahoma, and New Mexico. The AOIs were generated using ammonium sulfate and ammonium nitrate extinction-weighted residence times (EWRT). The Class I areas included in the analysis from Texas and neighboring states are presented in table 1, which is taken from table 7-3: Class I Areas included in AOI Analyses of the 2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan.

    2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan at 7-6. Extinction-weighted residence time is calculated from the time that a particular back-trajectory from a Class I area spent in the grid square containing the individual emission source of interest (residence time) weighted by the extinction coefficient for the visibility precursor (sulfate and nitrate).

    For the purposes of the AOI analysis, Carlsbad Caverns was represented by data from the Guadalupe Mountains National Park monitor. See 2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan at 1-5.

    Table 1—Class I Areas Included in AOI Analyses of the 2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan

    Site Code State County Latitude Longitude
    Big Bend National Park BIBE1 TX 48043 29.3027 −103.178
    Breton Island BRIS1 LA 22075 30.10863 −89.76168
    Caney Creek CACR1 AR 05113 34.4544 −94.1429
    Great Sand Dunes GRSA1 CO 08003 37.7249 −105.5185
    Guadalupe Mountains National Park GUMO TX 48109 31.833 −104.8094
    Hercules-Glades HEG1 MO 29213 36.6138 −92.9221
    Mingo MING1 MO 29207 36.9717 −90.1432
    Rocky Mountain National Park ROMO1 CO 08069 40.2783 −105.5457
    Salt Creek SACR1 NM 35005 33.4598 −104.4042
    Upper Buffalo Wilderness UPBO1 AR 05101 35.8258 −93.203
    Wheeler Peak WHPE1 NM 35055 36.5854 −105.42
    White Mountain WHIT1 NM 35027 33.4687 −105.5349
    Wichita Mountains WIMO1 OK 40031 34.7323 −98.713

    Table 2—Estimate of Baseline Visibility Conditions (2000-2004) for Class I Areas in Texas

    Class I area Most impaired haze index (dv) Clearest haze index (dv)
    Big Bend 15.57 5.78
    Guadalupe Mountains 14.60 5.92

    Table 3—Estimate of Natural Visibility Conditions for Class I Areas in Texas

    Class I area Most impaired haze index (dv) Clearest haze index (dv)
    Big Bend 5.33 1.62
    Guadalupe Mountains 4.83 0.99

    Table 4—Estimate of Current Visibility Conditions (2014-2018) for Class I Areas in Texas

    Class I area Most impaired haze index (dv) Clearest haze index (dv)
    Big Bend 14.06 5.17
    Guadalupe Mountains 12.64 4.73

    Table 5—Progress to Date

    (Differences Between Baseline and Current Conditions)

    Class I area Most impaired (dv) Clearest haze (dv)
    Big Bend 1.51 0.61
    Guadalupe Mountains 1.96 1.19

    Table 6—Differences Between Current and Natural Conditions

    Class I area Most impaired (dv) Clearest haze (dv)
    Big Bend 8.73 3.55
    Guadalupe Mountains 7.81 3.74

    Table 7—Texas' s Source Selection for Its 2021 Regional Haze Plan

    Texas 2021 Regional Haze Plan, table 7-5.

    Company/site name Unit(s) Class I area(s) Pollutant(s)
    Coleto Creek Power/Coleto Creek Power Station (1) coal boiler Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    Southwestern Electric Power/Welsh Power Plant (2) coal boilers Caney Creek & Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    AEP/Pirkey Power Plant (1) coal boiler Caney Creek & Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    NRG Energy/Limestone Electric Generating Station (2) coal boilers Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    Vistra Energy/Martin Lake Electric Station (3) coal boilers Caney Creek & Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    San Miguel Electric Cooperative/San Miguel Elec. Plant (1) coal boiler Guadalupe Mountains & Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    Public Service Co. of Oklahoma/Oklaunion Power Station (1) coal boiler Wichita Mountains SO 2 & NO X .
    Vistra Energy/Oak Grove Steam Electric Station (2) coal boilers Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    Holcim Texas LP/Midlothian Plant (2) cement kilns Wichita Mountains SO 2 .
    Vitro Flat Glass/Works No. 4 Wichita Falls Plant (2) glass melting furnaces Wichita Mountains SO 2 & NO X .
    Graphic Packaging International/Texarkana Mill (4) boilers: (2) black liquor solids & NG; (1) NG & fuel oil; (1) NG, fuel oil, & other materials Caney Creek NO X .
    El Paso Natural Gas Co./Keystone Compressor Station (15) reciprocating engines Guadalupe Mountains & Salt Creek NO X .
    El Paso Natural Gas Co./Cornudas Plant (6) turbines Guadalupe Mountains NO X .
    El Paso Natural Gas Co./Guadalupe Compressor Station (1) turbine Guadalupe Mountains NO X .
    GCC Permian/Odessa Cement Plant (2) cement kilns Guadalupe Mountains NO X .
    Orion Engineered Carbons/Orange Carbon Black Plant (1) incinerator; (4) dryers; (2) tail gas and NG boilers; (1) flare Caney Creek SO 2 .
    Oxbow Calcining/Oxbow Calcining-Port Arthur (4) coke calcining kilns Caney Creek SO 2 .
    Trinity Lightweight Aggregate (TRNLWS)/Streetman Plant (1) lightweight aggregate kiln Wichita Mountains SO 2 .

    Texas 2021 Regional Haze Plan, table 7-5.

    Table 8—Texas' s Cost Estimates of SO 2 Controls for EGUs Without Existing Controls

    Source SO 2 baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) SO 2 reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Coleto Creek Unit 1 13,213 DSI SDA Wet FGD 90 95 98 11,892 12,552 12,949 $3,261 6,720 7,406 $3,022 3,884 4,215 $2,976 3,340 3,603
    Welsh Unit 1 7,528 DSI SDA Wet FGD 90 95 98 6,775 7,152 7,377 4,406 11,380 12,032 4,029 6,481 6,812 3,957 5,540 5,811
    Welsh Unit 3 6,694 DSI SDA Wet FGD 90 95 98 6,025 6,359 6,560 4,814 12,622 13,357 4,394 7,179 7,558 4,314 6,135 6,445

    Table 9—Texas' s Cost Estimates of SO 2 Wet Scrubber Upgrades for EGUs

    Source Unit size (MW) SO 2 baseline emissions (tons/yr) Capital cost ($) Annual operating and maintenance costs ($) SO 2 reduction due to scrubber upgrade at 95% control efficiency (tons/yr) Cost-effectiveness ($/ton)
    5-Year life 15-Year life 30-Year life
    AEP Pirkey Unit 1 721 5,085 99,921,030 2,740,188 3,874 $7,511 $4,098 $3,443
    Limestone Unit 1 893 4,156 123,757,947 3,393,881 3,212 11,222 6,123 5,145
    Limestone Unit 2 957 4,164 132,627,498 3,637,115 3,259 11,853 6,467 5,434
    Martin Lake Unit 1 793 19,282 109,899,275 3,013,827 16,172 1,979 1,080 907
    Martin Lake Unit 2 793 17,167 109,899,275 3,013,827 14,101 2,270 1,238 1,040
    Martin Lake Unit 3 793 19,749 109,899,275 3,013,827 16,458 1,945 1,061 891
    San Miguel Unit 1 410 12,006 56,820,558 1,558,221 2,001 8,270 4,512 3,791
    Oklaunion Unit 1 720 2,191 99,782,444 2,736,387 1,826 15,913 8,682 7,295

    Table 10-Texas' s Cost Estimates of NO X Controls Oklaunion Unit 1

    Source NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Oklaunion Unit 1 6,804 SNCR SCR 50 98 3,402 6,668 $4,705 11,222 $4,152 6,455 $4,046 5,541

    Table 11—Texas' s Cost Estimate of SO 2 Wet Scrubber Upgrades for Midlothian Plant

    Unit SO 2 baseline emissions (tons/yr) Baseline SO 2 control efficiency of wet scrubber (%) Capital cost ($) Annual operating and maintenance costs ($) SO 2 reduction due to scrubber upgrade at 95% control efficiency (tons/yr) Cost-effectiveness ($/ton)
    5-Year life 15-Year life 30-Year life
    Cement Kiln No 1 522 90 8,196,683 224,782 261 $9,138 $4,986 $4,189
    Cement Kiln No 2 856 90 8,300,438 227,627 428 5,647 3,081 2,589

    Table 12—Texas' s Cost Estimate of Tri-Mer Cat Controls for Vitro Flat Glass Works No 4 Plant

    Unit Pollutant evaluated Baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control efficiency evaluated (%) Emissions reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Glass Melting Furnace Line No.1 SO 2 NO X 136 674 80 80 109 539 $15,100 15,100 $10,300 10,300 $9,400 9,400
    Glass Melting Furnace Line No. 2 SO 2 NO X 301 2,533 80 80 241 2,026 4,600 4,600 3,200 3,200 2,900 2,900

    Table 13—Texas's Cost Estimates of NO X Controls for Graphic Packaging Texarkana Mill

    Unit NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Power Boiler No 1 109 LNB SCR 40 80 44 87 $21,788 36,200 $10,859 26,350 $8,762 24,469
    Power Boiler No 2 692 LNB SCR 40 80 277 554 3,525 7,100 1,757 5,254 1,417 4,956
    Recovery Boiler/Furnace No 1 275 LNB SCR 40 80 110 220 7,438 11,800 3,707 9,248 2,991 8,755
    Recovery Boiler/Furnace No 2 674 LNB SCR 40 80 270 539 3,619 7,000 1,804 5,395 1,455 5,089

    Table 14—Texas' s Cost Estimates of NO X Controls for El Paso Natural Gas Company Keystone Compressor Station

    Unit NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A01 131 LEC SCR 40 80 53 105 $1,091 7,956 $544 6,754 $439 6,523
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A02 7 LEC SCR 40 80 3 6 19,209 129,200 9,573 108,036 7,724 103,974
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A03 133 LEC SCR 40 80 53 106 1,078 7,900 537 6,677 433 6,449
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A04 14 LEC SCR 40 80 6 11 9,989 67,500 4,978 56,494 4,017 54,381
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A05 24 LEC SCR 40 80 10 19 5,964 40,600 2,972 33,990 2,398 32,729
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A06 17 LEC SCR 40 80 7 13 8,664 58,600 4,318 49,085 3,484 47,253
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A07 14 LEC SCR 40 80 6 11 10,278 69,400 5,122 58,102 4,133 55,928
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A08 18 LEC SCR 40 80 12 24 4,851 33,100 2,418 27,769 1,915 26,743
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A09 16 LEC SCR 40 80 6 13 9,154 61,900 4,562 51,821 3,681 49,885
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A10 60 LEC SCR 40 80 24 48 2,377 16,600 1,185 13,940 956 13,437
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A11 34 LEC SCR 40 80 14 27 4,178 28,600 2,083 24,011 1,680 23,127
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, A12 8 LEC SCR 40 80 3 6 18,554 124,800 9,247 104,367 7,461 100,443
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, B01 29 LEC SCR 40 80 12 23 6,727 39,100 3,353 32,227 2,705 30,914
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, B02 83 LEC SCR 40 80 33 66 2,365 14,200 1,179 11,755 951 11,293
    Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine, B03 66 LEC SCR 40 80 26 53 2,958 17,600 1,474 14,543 1,189 13,965

    Table 15—Texas' s Cost Estimates of NO X Controls for El Paso Natural Gas Company Cornudas Plant

    Unit NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Gas Turbine, A1 69 LNB SCR 40 80 28 55 $1,913 27,700 $954 21,972 $769 20,879
    Gas Turbine, A2 50 LNB SCR 40 80 20 40 5,823 37,742 2,902 29,958 2,341 28,464
    Gas Turbine, A3 63 LNB SCR 40 80 25 51 4,623 30,292 2,304 24,112 1,859 22,926
    Gas Turbine, B1 104 LNB SCR 40 80 42 83 3,748 22,878 1,868 17,982 1,507 17,042
    Gas Turbine, C1 18 SCR 80 14 129,955 101,694 96,270
    Gas Turbine, C2 18 SCR 80 14 129,955 101,694 96,270

    Table 16—Texas' s Cost Estimates of NO X Controls for El Paso Natural Gas Company Guadalupe Compressor Station

    Unit NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Gas Turbine, C-1 56 LNB SCR 40 80 23 45 $13,897 69,485 $6,926 54,975 $5,588 52,190

    Table 17—Texas' s Cost Estimates of NO X Controls for GCC Permian Odessa Cement Plant

    Unit NO X baseline emissions (tons/yr) Control Control efficiency (%) NO X reduction (tons/yr) 5-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 15-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton) 30-Year life cost- effectiveness ($/ton)
    Cement Kiln No 2 427 LNB 40 171 $3,163 $1,576 $1,272

    Table 18—TCEQ vs. EPA Recalculated Scrubber Upgrade Costs

    Company/site name Unit 2018 EIA electric capacity/2016 EI capacity or engine rating Capital costs 15 Year life total annual cost Emissions removed (tpy) 15 year life cost effectiveness ($/ton)
    TCEQ Avg. TCEQ Avg. TCEQ Avg.
    American Electric Power/Pirkey Power Plant Unit 1 721 MW $99,921,030 $27,279,969 $15,877,183 $5,817,383 3,874 $4,098 $1,502
    NRG Energy/Limestone Elec. Gen. Station Unit 1 Unit 2 893 MW 957 MW 123,757,947 132,627,498 33,787,812 36,209,335 19,664,805 21,074,153 7,205,163 7,721,546 3,212 3,259 6,123 6,467 2,244 2,370
    Vistra Energy/Martin Lake Electrical Station Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 793 MW 793MW 793MW 109,899,275 109,899,275 109,899,275 30,004,182 30,004,182 30,004,182 17,462,700 17,462,700 17,462,700 6,398,313 6,398,313 6,398,313 16,172 14,101 16,458 1,080 1,238 1,061 396 454 389
    San Miguel Electric Cooperative/San Miguel Electric Plant Unit 1 410 MW 56,820,558 15,512,881 9,028,634 3,308,081 2,001 4,512 1,653

    Table 19 —Texas' s Potential Control Strategy Summary

    This table does not reflect NOX costs and associated emission reductions from the Oklaunion facility. See 2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan at 7-15.

    Pollutant Total emissions reductions (tons/yr) Estimated total annualized cost
    NO X 3,171 $9,335,087
    SO 2 79,285 195,539,404
    Total Costs 204,874,491

    This table does not reflect NOX costs and associated emission reductions from the Oklaunion facility. See 2021 Texas Regional Haze Plan at 7-15.

    Table 20—Texas' s Estimated Haze Index Improvements for Affected Class I Areas

    Class I area Haze index improvement (dv)
    Big Bend 0.07
    Caney Creek 0.56
    Guadalupe Mountains 0.03
    Salt Creek 0.07
    Upper Buffalo 0.21
    White Mountain 0.02
    Wichita Mountains 0.23

    Table 21 —Visibility Benefit of Texas's Control Scenario 2

    See “EPA TX contributions to Class I areas.xlsx” available in the docket for this action.

    Class I area IMPROVE monitor 2028 extinction (Mm-1) Texas anthro (%) Non- Texas U.S. anthro (%) Total US anthro (Mm-1) Total anthro from Texas (Mm-1) Texas % of total US anthropogenic impairment Scenario 2 extinction reduction (Mm-1) Scenario 2 reduction of total US anthropogenic (%) Scenario 2 reduction of Texas anthropogenic contribution (%) Scenario 2 extinction reduction (dv) Scenario 2 extinction reduction compared to Natural conditions (dv)
    Caney Creek CACR1 55.4 23 31 29.92 12.74 43 −3.18 −10.60 −25.00 −0.56 −1.32
    Big Bend BIBE1 41.2 10 5 6.18 4.12 67 −0.31 −5.00 −7.50 −0.07 −0.18
    Upper Buffalo UPBU1 53.4 13 38 27.23 6.94 25 −1.2 −4.40 −17.30 −0.21 −0.48
    Wichita Mountains WIMO1 53.2 18 33 27.13 9.58 35 −1.19 −4.40 −12.40 −0.22 −0.61
    Hercules-Glades HEGL1 57.2 9 48 32.60 5.15 16 −0.78 −2.40 −15.20 −0.13 −0.31
    Salt Creek SACR1 40.3 12 34 18.54 4.84 26 −0.27 −1.50 −5.60 −0.06 −0.16
    Guadalupe Mountains GUMO1 34 11 11 7.48 3.74 50 −0.1 −1.30 −2.70 −0.03 −0.06

    See “EPA TX contributions to Class I areas.xlsx” available in the docket for this action.

    Table 22—Visibility for Class I Areas on 20% Most Impaired Days and 20% Clearest Days

    Class I area (IMPROVE ID, state) 2014-2017 20% clearest days (dv) Future year (2028) 20% clearest days (dv) 2028 adjusted glidepath (dv) Future year (2028) 20% most impaired days (dv)
    Big Bend National Park (N.P.) (BIBE, TX) 5.2 4.9 14.4 14.2
    Bosque del Apache Wilderness Area (W.A.) (BOAP, NM) 4.6 4.2 9.9 9.6
    Breton Island W.A. (BRIS, LA) 11.8 11.3 19.8 18.3
    Caney Creek W.A. (CACR, AR) 8.2 7.8 18.8 17.1
    Great Sand Dunes W.A. (GRSA, CO) 2.9 2.6 8.2 7.3
    Guadalupe Mountains N.P. (GUMO, TX) 4.5 4.1 12.8 12.2
    Hercules-Glades W.A. (HEGL, MO) 9.8 9.1 19.6 17.4
    Mingo W.A. (MING, MO) 11.2 10.6 20.2 18.6
    Rocky Mountain N.P. (ROMO, CO) 1.3 1.1 9.2 7.3
    Salt Creek W.A. (SACR, NM) 6.7 6.2 13.5 13.9
    Upper Buffalo W.A. (UPBU, AR) 8.4 7.9 19.2 16.7
    White Mountain W.A. (WHIT, NM) 2.6 2.2 10 9.5
    Wheeler Peak W.A. (WHPE, NM) 0.3 0.1 6.5 5.3
    Wichita Mountains W.A. (WIMO, OK) 8.4 7.7 17.4 16.7
    Source: Texas 2021 Regional Haze SIP, Table 8-43.

    Table 23—IMPROVE Stations at Federal Class I Areas in Texas

    Monitor ID Class I area Sponsor Years operated
    BIBE1 Big Bend National Park National Parks Service 1988-Present.
    GUMO1 Guadalupe Mountains National Park National Parks Service 1988-Present.

    Table 24—EJSCREEN Analysis Summary for Sources

    [see detailed EJSCREEN report for all sources]

    Variables Values for buffer areas (radius) for each source and the U.S. (percentile within U.S. where indicated)
    Limestone Martin Lake Oklaunion San Miguel U.S.
    Pollution Burden Indicators:
    Particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), annual average 8.13 μg/m (49%ile) 8.8 μg/m (69%ile) 6.94 μg/m (17%ile) 8.38 μg/m (58%ile) 8.45 μg/m (—)
    Ozone, annual average of the top ten 8-hour daily maximums 61 ppb (53%ile) 56.9 ppb (32%ile) 57.2 ppb (33%ile) 61.7 ppb (56%ile) 61.8 ppb (—)
    Nitrogen dioxide, annual average 3.7 ppb (11%ile) 3.2 ppb (8%ile) 3.6 ppb (11%ile) 2.9 ppb (6%ile) 7.8 ppb (—)
    Diesel particulate matter 0.0574 μg/m (11%ile) 0.0572 μg/m (11%ile) 0.0496 μg/m (8%ile) 0.0384 μg/m (4%ile) 0.191 μg/m (—)
    Toxic releases to air score * 320 (39%ile) 9400 (92%ile) 32 (14%ile) 92 (23%ile) 4,600 (—)
    Traffic proximity and volume score * 12,000 (5%ile) 9,900 (4%ile) 59,000 (13%ile) 28,000 (8%ile) 1,700,000 (—)
    Lead paint (percentage pre-1960 housing) 0.061% (29%ile) 0.12% (38%ile) 0.51% (74%ile) 0.08% (32%ile) 0.3% (—)
    Superfund proximity score * 0 (0%ile) 0.014 (56%ile) 0 (0%ile) 0 (0%ile) 0.39 (—)
    RMP proximity score * 0.14 (39%ile) 0.18 (42%ile) 0.32 (53%ile) 0.084 (30%ile) 0.57 (—)
    Hazardous waste proximity score * 0.058 (15%ile) 0.055 (15%ile) 0 (0%ile) 0 (0%ile) 3.5 (—)
    Underground storage tank proximity score * 0.022 (29%ile) 0.18 (36%ile) 0.11 (34%ile) 0.000039 (26%ile) 3.6 (—)
    Wastewater discharge score * 52 (50%ile) 50 (49%ile) 0.35 (18%ile) 14 (38%ile) 700,000 (—)
    Drinking water noncompliance, points 2.7 (87%ile) 9.9 (92%ile) 2.2 (87%ile) 0.86 (77%ile) 2.2 (—)
    Demographic Indicators:
    People of color population 21% (37%ile) 33% (51%ile) 43% (60%ile) 44% (61%ile) 40% (—)
    Low-income population 33% (60%ile) 28% (52%ile) 41% (72%ile) 15% (29%ile) 30% (—)
    Unemployment rate 3% (45%ile) 4% (55%ile) 5% (62%ile) 9% (79%ile) 6% (—)
    Linguistically isolated population 1% (59%ile) 0% (56%ile) 4% (71%ile) 0% (57%ile) 5% (—)
    Population with less than high school education 11% (60%ile) 8% (50%ile) 30% (91%ile) 29% (91%ile) 11% (—)
    Population under 5 years of age 4% (47%ile) 9% (80%ile) 5% (54%ile) 0% (13%ile) 5% (—)
    Population over 64 years of age 27% (83%ile) 17% (53%ile) 17% (55%ile) 35% (92%ile) 18% (—)
    * The traffic proximity and volume indicator is a score calculated by daily traffic count divided by distance in meters to the road. The Superfund proximity, RMP proximity, and hazardous waste proximity indicators are all scores calculated by site or facility counts divided by distance in kilometers. The underground storage tank proximity indicator is the weighted count within a 1,500-foot block group. The toxic releases to air indicator is the modeled toxicity-weighted concentration. The wastewater discharge indicator is the modeled toxicity-weighted concentrations divided by distance in meters.