Energy Conservation Program: Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Furnace Fans

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Federal RegisterOct 18, 2024
89 Fed. Reg. 83990 (Oct. 18, 2024)
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    Department of Energy
  • 10 CFR Part 430
  • [EERE-2021-BT-STD-0029]
  • RIN 1904-AE64
  • AGENCY:

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of Energy.

    ACTION:

    Final determination.

    SUMMARY:

    The Energy Policy and Conservation Act, as amended (“EPCA”), prescribes energy conservation standards for various consumer products and certain commercial and industrial equipment, including consumer furnace fans. EPCA also requires the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE”) to periodically review its existing standards to determine whether more-stringent, amended standards would be technologically feasible and economically justified, and would result in significant energy savings. In this final determination, DOE has determined the energy conservation standards for consumer furnace fans do not need to be amended.

    DATES:

    The effective date of this final determination is November 18, 2024.

    ADDRESSES:

    The docket for this activity, which includes Federal Register notices, public meeting attendee lists and transcripts, comments, and other supporting documents/materials, is available for review at www.regulations.gov. All documents in the docket are listed in the www.regulations.gov index. However, not all documents listed in the index may be publicly available, such as information that is exempt from public disclosure.

    The docket web page can be found at www.regulations.gov/docket/EERE-2021-BT-STD-0029. The docket web page contains instructions on how to access all documents, including public comments, in the docket.

    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:

    Ms. Julia Hegarty, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies Office, EE-5B, 1000 Independence Avenue SW, Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone: (240) 597-6737 Email: ApplianceStandards Questions@ee.doe.gov.

    Mr. Eric Stas, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the General Counsel, GC-33, 1000 Independence Avenue SW, Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone: (202) 586-4798. Email: Eric.Stas@hq.doe.gov.

    For further information on how to review the docket, contact the Appliance and Equipment Standards Program staff at (202) 287-1445 or by email: ApplianceStandardsQuestions@ee.doe.gov.

    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

    Table of Contents

    I. Synopsis of the Final Determination

    II. Introduction

    A. Authority

    B. Background

    1. Current Standards

    2. Current Rulemaking History

    III. General Discussion and Rationale

    A. General Comments

    B. Product Classes and Scope of Coverage

    C. Test Procedure

    D. Technological Feasibility

    1. General Considerations

    2. Maximum Technologically Feasible Levels

    E. Energy Savings

    1. Determination of Savings

    2. Significance of Savings

    F. Cost-Effectiveness

    G. Further Considerations

    1. Economic Impact on Manufacturers and Consumers

    2. Savings in Operating Costs Compared To Increase in Price

    3. Energy Savings

    4. Lessening of Utility or Performance of Products

    5. Impact of Any Lessening of Competition

    6. Need for National Energy Conservation

    7. Other Factors

    IV. Methodology and Discussion of Related Comments

    A. Market and Technology Assessment

    1. Product Classes and Scope of Coverage

    2. Technology Options

    3. Impact From Other Rulemakings

    4. Screening Analysis

    a. Screened-Out Technologies

    b. Remaining Technologies

    B. Engineering and Cost Analysis

    1. Efficiency Analysis

    a. Baseline Efficiency

    b. Intermediate Efficiency Levels

    c. Maximum Technology (“Max-Tech”) Efficiency Levels

    d. Summary of Efficiency Levels Analyzed

    2. Cost Analysis

    a. Teardown Analysis

    b. Cost Estimation Method

    3. Cost-Efficiency Results

    C. Markups Analysis

    D. Energy Use Analysis

    E. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analysis

    1. Product Cost

    2. Installation Cost

    3. Annual Energy Consumption

    4. Energy Prices

    5. Maintenance and Repair Costs

    6. Product Lifetime

    7. Discount Rates

    8. Energy-Efficiency Distribution in the No-New-Standards Case

    9. Payback Period Analysis

    F. Shipments Analysis

    G. National Impact Analysis

    1. Product Efficiency Trends

    2. National Energy Savings

    3. Net Present Value Analysis

    H. Other Factors Related to Backward-Inclined Impellers

    V. Analytical Results and Conclusions

    A. Economic Impacts on Individual Consumers

    B. National Impact Analysis

    1. National Energy Savings

    2. Net Present Value of Consumer Costs and Benefits

    C. Final Determination

    1. BPM Motor With Backward-Inclined Impellers

    2. BPM Motors With Forward-Inclined Impellers

    3. Summary

    VI. Procedural Issues and Regulatory Review

    A. Review Under Executive Orders 12866, 13563, and 14094

    B. Review Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act

    C. Review Under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995

    D. Review Under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969

    E. Review Under Executive Order 13132

    F. Review Under Executive Order 12988

    G. Review Under the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995

    H. Review Under the Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act, 1999

    I. Review Under Executive Order 12630

    J. Review Under the Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act, 2001

    K. Review Under Executive Order 13211

    L. Review Under the Information Quality Bulletin for Peer Review

    M. Congressional Notification

    VII. Approval of the Office of the Secretary

    I. Synopsis of the Final Determination

    The Energy Policy and Conservation Act, Public Law 94-163, as amended (“EPCA”), authorizes DOE to regulate the energy efficiency of a number of consumer products and certain industrial equipment. (42 U.S.C. 6291-6317, as codified) Title III, Part B of EPCA established the Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products Other Than Automobiles. (42 U.S.C. 6291-6309) These products include consumer furnace fans, the subject of this final determination. (42 U.S.C. 6295(f)(4)(D))

    All references to EPCA in this document refer to the statute as amended through the Energy Act of 2020, Public Law 116-260 (Dec. 27, 2020), which reflects the last statutory amendments that impact Parts A and A-1 of EPCA.

    For editorial reasons, upon codification in the U.S. Code, Part B was redesignated Part A.

    Pursuant to EPCA, DOE is required to review its existing energy conservation standards for covered consumer products no later than six years after issuance of any final rule establishing or amending a standard. (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(1)) Pursuant to that statutory provision, DOE must publish either a notification of determination that standards for the product do not need to be amended, or a notice of proposed rulemaking (“NOPR”) including new proposed energy conservation standards (proceeding to a final rule, as appropriate). ( Id.) DOE has conducted this review of the energy conservation standards for consumer furnace fans under EPCA's six-year-lookback authority described herein.

    For this final determination, DOE analyzed consumer furnace fans subject to energy conservation standards specified in the Code of Federal Regulations (“CFR”) at 10 CFR 430.32(y). DOE first analyzed the technological feasibility of more energy-efficient consumer furnace fans. For those consumer furnace fans for which DOE determined higher standards to be technologically feasible, DOE evaluated whether higher standards would be cost-effective for consumers by conducting life-cycle cost (“LCC”) and payback period (“PBP”) analyses. In addition, DOE estimated energy savings that would result from potential energy conservation standards by conducting a national impact analysis (“NIA”), in which it estimated the net present value (“NPV”) of the total costs and benefits experienced by consumers.

    Based on the results of the analyses, summarized in section V of this document, DOE has determined that the current standards for consumer furnace fans do not need to be amended and is issuing this final determination accordingly.

    II. Introduction

    The following sections briefly discuss the statutory authority underlying this final determination, as well as some of the historical background relevant to the establishment of energy conservation standards for consumer furnace fans.

    A. Authority

    Among other things, EPCA authorizes DOE to regulate the energy efficiency of a number of consumer products and certain industrial equipment. (42 U.S.C. 6291-6317, as codified) Title III, Part B of EPCA established the Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products Other Than Automobiles. These products include consumer furnace fans, the subject of this document. (42 U.S.C. 6295(f)(4)(D)) Specifically, EPCA authorized DOE to establish energy conservation standards for electricity used for the purpose of circulating air through ductwork. ( Id.)

    As noted previously, for editorial reasons, upon codification in the U.S. Code, Part B was redesignated Part A.

    The energy conservation program under EPCA consists essentially of four parts: (1) testing; (2) labeling; (3) the establishment of Federal energy conservation standards, and (4) certification and enforcement procedures. Relevant provisions of EPCA specifically include definitions (42 U.S.C. 6291), test procedures (42 U.S.C. 6293), labeling provisions (42 U.S.C. 6294), energy conservation standards (42 U.S.C. 6295), and the authority to require information and reports from manufacturers (42 U.S.C. 6296).

    Federal energy efficiency requirements for covered products established under EPCA generally supersede State laws and regulations concerning energy conservation testing, labeling, and standards. (42 U.S.C. 6297(a)-(c)) DOE may, however, grant waivers of Federal preemption in limited circumstances for particular State laws or regulations, in accordance with the procedures and other provisions set forth under EPCA. (42 U.S.C. 6297(d))

    Subject to certain criteria and conditions, DOE is required to develop test procedures to measure the energy efficiency, energy use, or estimated annual operating cost of each covered product. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(A) and 42 U.S.C. 6295(r)) Manufacturers of covered products must use the prescribed DOE test procedure as the basis for certifying to DOE that their product complies with the applicable energy conservation standards and as the basis for any representations regarding the energy use or energy efficiency of the product. (42 U.S.C. 6293(c) and 42 U.S.C. 6295(s)) Similarly, DOE must use these test procedures to evaluate whether a basic model complies with the applicable energy conservation standard(s). (42 U.S.C. 6295(s)) The DOE test procedures for consumer furnace fans appear at title 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix AA.

    As noted previously, not later than six years after the issuance of any final rule establishing or amending a standard, DOE must publish either a notice of proposed determination (“NOPD”) that standards for the product do not need to be amended, or a NOPR including new proposed energy conservation standards (proceeding to a final rule, as appropriate). (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(1) and (3)) EPCA further provides that, not later than three years the issuance of a final determination not to amend standards, DOE must publish either a notification of determination that standards for the product do not need to be amended, or a NOPR including new proposed energy conservation standards (proceeding to a final rule, as appropriate). (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(3)(B)) DOE must make the analysis on which a NOPD or NOPR is based publicly available and provide an opportunity for written comment. (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(2))

    A determination that amended standards are not needed must be based on consideration of whether amended standards will result in significant conservation of energy, are technologically feasible, and are cost-effective. (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(1)(A) and 42 U.S.C. 6295(n)(2)) Additionally, any new or amended energy conservation standard prescribed by the Secretary for any type (or class) of covered product shall be designed to achieve the maximum improvement in energy efficiency which the Secretary determines is technologically feasible and economically justified. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)) Among the factors DOE considers in evaluating whether a proposed standard level is economically justified includes whether the proposed standard at that level is cost-effective, as defined under 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(II). Under 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(II), an evaluation of cost-effectiveness requires DOE to consider savings in operating costs throughout the estimated average life of the covered products in the type (or class) compared to any increase in the price, initial charges, or maintenance expenses for the covered products that are likely to result from the standard. (42 U.S.C. 6295(n)(2) and 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(II))

    Finally, pursuant to the amendments to EPCA contained in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (“EISA 2007”), Public Law 110-140, any final rule for new or amended energy conservation standards promulgated after July 1, 2010, is required to address standby mode and off mode energy use. (42 U.S.C. 6295(gg)(3)) Specifically, when DOE adopts a standard for a covered product after that date, it must, if justified by the criteria for adoption of standards under EPCA (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)), incorporate standby mode and off mode energy use into a single standard, or, if that is not feasible, adopt a separate standard for such energy use for that product. (42 U.S.C. 6295(gg)(3)(A)-(B)) However, in a test procedure final rule for furnace fans published in the Federal Register on January 3, 2014, DOE has previously determined that there is no need to address standby mode and off mode energy use in the standards for consumer furnace fans, as the standby mode and off mode energy use associated with furnace fans is accounted for by the standards and test procedures for the products in which furnace fans are used ( i.e., consumer furnaces and consumer central air conditioners and heat pumps). 79 FR 500, 504-505. DOE maintained the same approach in the most recent amended test procedure for consumer furnace fans, which was published in the Federal Register on April 12, 2024 (“April 2024 TP Final Rule”; 89 FR 25780, 25782) and continues to do so here for the reasons previously stated.

    DOE is publishing this final determination pursuant to the six-year-lookback review requirement in EPCA.

    B. Background

    1. Current Standards

    DOE most recently completed a review of the subject consumer furnace fans standards in a final rule published in the Federal Register on July 3, 2014 (“July 2014 Final Rule”), through which DOE prescribed the current energy conservation standards for consumer furnace fans manufactured on and after July 3, 2019. 79 FR 38130. These standards are set forth in DOE's regulations at 10 CFR 430.32(y) and are shown in Table II.1.

    Table II.1—Federal Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Furnace Fans

    Furnace fan product class * Fan energy rating ** (watts/1,000 cubic feet per minute (“cfm”))
    Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas (“NWG-NC”) FER = 0.044 * Q max + 182.
    Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas (“NWG-C”) FER = 0.044 * Q max + 195.
    Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas (“WG-NC”) FER = 0.044 * Q max + 199.
    Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fan (“NWO-NC”) FER = 0.071 * Q max + 382.
    Non-Weatherized Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan (“NWEF/NWMB”) FER = 0.044 * Q max + 165.
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-NWG-NC”) FER = 0.071 * Q max + 222.
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-NWG-C”) FER = 0.071 * Q max + 240.
    Mobile Home Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan (“MH-EF/MB”) FER = 0.044 * Q max + 101.
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized Oil Furnace Fan (“MH-NWO”) Reserved.
    Mobile Home Weatherized Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-WG”) Reserved.
    * Furnace fans incorporated into hydronic air handlers, small-duct high-velocity (“SDHV”) modular blowers, SDHV electric furnaces, and central air conditioners/heat pump indoor units are not subject to the standards listed in this table. See section IV.A.1 of this document for further discussion.
    ** Q max is the airflow, in cfm, at the maximum airflow-control setting measured using the final DOE test procedure at 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix AA.

    Table II.2—List of Commenters With Written Submissions in Response to the October 2023 NOPD

    Commenter(s) Abbreviation Comment No. in the docket Commenter type
    Air-Conditioning, Heating, & Refrigeration Institute AHRI 32 Manufacturer Trade Association.
    Appliance Standards Awareness Project, American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, National Consumer Law Center, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York State Energy Research and Development Authority Joint Advocates 31 Efficiency Advocacy Organization.
    Lennox International Lennox 30 Manufacturer.
    Michael Ravnitzky Ravnitzky 29 Individual.

    Table IV.1—Current Consumer Furnace Fan Product Classes

    Product class
    Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“NWG-NC”).
    Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“NWG-C”).
    Weatherized Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“WG-NC”).
    Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fan (“NWO-NC”).
    Non-Weatherized Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan (“NWEF/NWMB”).
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-NWG-NC”).
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-NWG-C”).
    Mobile Home Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan (“MH-EF/MB”).
    Mobile Home Non-Weatherized Oil Furnace Fan (“MH-NWO”).*
    Mobile Home Weatherized Gas Furnace Fan (“MH-WG”).*
    * DOE created the MH-NWO and MH-MG product classes in the July 2014 Final Rule, but these classes do not currently have energy conservation standards.

    Table IV.2—List of Technology Options Considered for This Final Determination

    Technology option Description
    Housing design modifications Optimizing the shape and orientation of the housing of a furnace fan can improve fan efficiency. This can be accomplished by: (1) optimizing the shape of the inlet cone, (2) optimizing the fan housing shape, (3) optimizing the motor mount and the motor location, (4) minimizing the gaps between the impeller and the inlet cone, and (5) optimizing cut-off location and the manufacturing tolerances.
    Multi-stage heating components and controls Multi-stage or modulating heating allows furnaces to meet heating load requirements more precisely and can run at a low output when less heat is required. Due to the cubic relationship between fan input power and airflow, operating at the reduced airflow-control setting may reduce overall fan electrical energy consumption for heating despite the extended hours.
    Airflow path design Modifications to the design and configuration of elements in the airflow path, such as the heat exchanger, could reduce internal static pressure. Reduced internal static pressure levels result in lower expected energy consumption levels.
    Constant-torque BPM (“CT-BPM”) and constant-airflow BPM (“CA-BPM”) motors Furnace fan manufacturers typically use either a permanent split capacitor (“PSC”) motor or a more efficient BPM motor. PSC motors are a type of induction motor where the stator is an electromagnet that consists of electrical wire windings, and BPM motors are three-phase permanent magnet motors.
    Inverter controls for PSC motors Using an inverter, the incoming alternating current (“AC”) is converted to DC current by a rectifier and then back to AC current at a specific frequency. The output AC current is used to drive the motor, the operating speed of which depends on the frequency of the AC current. This allows PSC motors with inverter controls to better match demand.
    Higher-efficiency fan blades Furnace fans typically use an impeller to move air through ductwork. Energy savings may be possible by using backward-inclined impellers. These impellers incorporate backward-facing inclined blades that are generally wider in the airflow direction across the blade as compared with forward-curved impellers.

    Table IV.3—Technology Options Screened Out

    Technology option Screening criteria (X = basis for screening out)
    Technological feasibility Practicability to install, manufacture, and service Impacts on product utility or product availability Adverse impacts on health or safety Unique-pathway proprietary technologies
    Housing Design Modifications X
    Airflow Path Design X

    Table IV.4—Baseline Efficiency Levels and Associated Design Options for Each Product Class

    Product class Maximum FER Design option
    Non-weatherized, non-condensing gas furnace fan 0.044 * Q Max + 182 BPM motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Non-weatherized, condensing gas furnace fan 0.044 * Q Max + 195 BPM motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Weatherized, non-condensing gas furnace fan 0.044 * Q Max + 199 BPM motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Non-weatherized, non-condensing oil furnace fan 0.071 * Q Max + 382 Improved PSC motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Non-weatherized electric furnace fan/modular blower fan 0.044 * Q Max + 165 BPM motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Manufactured home, non-weatherized, non-condensing gas furnace fan 0.071 * Q Max + 222 Improved PSC motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Manufactured home, non-weatherized, condensing gas furnace fan 0.071 * Q Max + 240 Improved PSC motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Manufactured home, non-weatherized electric furnace fan/modular blower fan 0.044 * Q Max + 101 BPM motor w/forward-inclined impeller.
    Manufactured home, non-weatherized, non-condensing oil furnace fan 0.071 * Q Max + 287 Improved PSC motor w/forward-inclined impeller.

    Table IV.5—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for NWG-NC Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.044 * Q Max + 182 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller N/A
    1—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 164 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 10

    Table IV.6—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for NWG-C Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.044 * Q Max + 195 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller N/A
    1—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 176 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 10

    Table IV.7—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for WG-NC Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.044 * Q Max + 199 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller N/A
    1—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 179 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 10

    Table IV.8—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for NWEF/NWMB Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.044 * Q Max + 165 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller N/A
    1—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 149 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 10

    Table IV.9—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for MH-EF/MB Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.044 * Q Max + 101 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller N/A
    1—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 91 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 10

    Table IV.10—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for MH-NWG-NC Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.071 * Q Max + 222 Improved PSC motor N/A
    1 0.044 * Q Max + 137 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller 39
    2—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 123 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 45

    Table IV.11—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for MH-NWG-C Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.071 * Q Max + 240 Improved PSC motor N/A
    1 0.044 * Q Max + 148 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller 39
    2—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 133 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 45

    Table IV.12—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level for NWO-NC Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.071 * Q Max + 382 Improved PSC motor N/A
    1 0.044 * Q Max + 236 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller 39
    2—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 212 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 45

    Table IV.13—Efficiency Levels and Technologies Used at Each Efficiency Level MH-NWO-NC Fans

    EL FER equation Description of technologies typically incorporated Percentage reduction in FER from baseline
    0—Baseline 0.071 * Q Max + 287 Improved PSC motor N/A
    1 0.044 * Q Max + 176 BPM motor w/forward-curved impeller 39
    2—Max-tech 0.04 * Q Max + 158 BPM motor w/backward-inclined impeller 45

    Table IV.14—Purchased Furnace Fan Components

    Assembly Purchased sub-assemblies or components
    Fan assembly Fan motor. Motor capacitor (when applicable). Impeller.
    Controls Primary control board (“PCB”). Multi-staging components (when applicable).

    Table IV.15—Factory Parameter Assumptions

    Parameter High-volume furnace fan estimate Low-volume furnace fan estimate
    Actual Annual Production Volume (units/year) 1,500,000 5,000.
    Purchased Parts Volume 500,000 units/year 5,000 units/year.
    Workdays Per Year (days) 250 250.
    Assembly Shifts Per Day (shifts) 2 1.
    Fabrication Shifts Per Day (shifts) 2 2.
    Fabrication Labor Wages ($/h) 16 16.
    Assembly Labor Wages ($/h) 16 16.
    Length of Shift (hr) 8 8.
    Average Equipment Installation Cost (% of purchase price) 10% 10%.
    Fringe Benefits Ratio 50% 50%.
    Indirect to Direct Labor Ratio 33% 33%.
    Average Scrap Recovery Value 30% 30%.
    Worker Downtime 10% 10%.
    Building Life (in years) 25 25.
    Burdened Assembly Labor Wage ($/h) 24 24.
    Burdened Fabrication Labor Wage ($/h) 24 24.
    Supervisor Span (workers/supervisor) 25 25.
    Supervisor Wage Premium (over fabrication and assembly wage) 30% 30%.

    Table IV.16—Incremental Cost Difference for BPM Motors

    Product class Incremental cost increase for CT-BPM to CA-BPM (2022$)
    NWG-C, NWG-NC, WG-NC, NWEF/NWMB, MH-NWG-NC, MH-NWG-C, and MH-EF/MB $28.07
    NWO-NC, MH-NWO-NC 83.67

    Table IV.17—Equations for Scaling MPCs to Additional Input Capacities

    Input Capacity MPC Scaling Equation: MPC Change = Slope * (Input Capacity (kBtu/h)−Representative Capacity (kBtu/h))
    NWGF-C, NWGF-NC, MH-NWGF-NC, MH-NWGF-C, WGF-NC NWOF-NC and MH-NWOF-NC
    Motor technology Slope Slope
    PSC 0.0650 0.7031
    Constant-torque BPM 0.1395 0.6272
    Constant-airflow BPM 0.1603 1.0069

    Table IV.18—Backward-Inclined Impeller MPC Increases

    Input capacity (kBtu/h) High volume (2022$) Low volume (2022$)
    40 28.60 34.15
    60 34.93 41.71
    80 37.21 44.43
    100 55.18 65.89
    120 59.09 70.56

    Table IV.19—Cost-Efficiency Results by Product Class—NWG-NC, NWG-C, WGF-NC, NWEF/NWMB, and MH-EF/MB

    Efficiency level
    Design option
    Baseline EL 1
    BPM motor BPM motor + backward-inclined impeller
    MPC $108.06 $136.13.
    Product class Maximum allowable FER equation
    NWG-NC 0.044 * Q Max + 182 0.04 * Q Max + 164.
    NWG-C 0.044 * Q Max + 195 0.04 * Q Max + 176.
    WG-NC 0.044 * Q Max + 199 0.04 * Q Max + 179.
    NWEF/NWMB 0.044 * Q Max + 165 0.04 * Q Max + 149.
    MH-EF/MB 0.044 * Q Max + 101 0.04 * Q Max + 91.

    Table IV.20—Cost-Efficiency Results by Product Class—MH-NWG-NC and MH-NWG-C

    Efficiency level
    Design option
    Baseline EL 1 EL 2
    Improved PSC BPM motor BPM motor + backward-inclined impeller
    MPC $82.39 $108.06 $136.13.
    Product class Maximum allowable FER equation
    MH-NWG-NC 0.071 * Q Max + 222 0.044 * Q Max + 137 0.04 * Q Max + 123.
    MH-NWG-C 0.071 * Q Max + 240 0.044 * Q Max + 148 0.04 * Q Max + 133.

    Table IV.21—Cost-Efficiency Results by Product Class—NWO-NC and MH-NWO-NC

    Efficiency level
    Design option
    Baseline EL 1 EL 2
    Improved PSC BPM motor BPM motor + backward-inclined impeller
    MPC $195.61 $216.95 $300.62.
    Product Class Maximum allowable FER equation
    NWO-NC 0.071 * Q Max + 382 0.044 * Q Max + 236 0.04 * Q Max + 212.
    MH-NWO-NC 0.071 * Q Max + 287 0.044 * Q Max + 176 0.04 * Q Max + 158.

    Table IV.22—Summary of Inputs and Methods for the LCC and PBP Analyses *

    Inputs Source/method
    Product Cost Derived from the manufacturer production cost (“MPC”) for furnace fans at different heating input capacities for each efficiency level (from the engineering analysis). The MPCs are then multiplied by the various market participant markups ( e.g., manufacturer, wholesaler, and plumbing contractor) for each distribution channel and sales taxes derived for each State and the District of Columbia.
    Installation Costs Varies by efficiency level and individual house/building characteristic. Material and labor costs are derived for each State and the District of Columbia mainly using RSMeans Residential Cost Data 2023. Overhead and profits are included in the RSMeans data. Probability distributions are derived for various installation cost input parameters.
    Annual Energy Use Derived mainly by using the heating energy use data for each housing unit and building from the Energy Information Administration's (“EIA's”) 2015 Residential Energy Consumption Survey (“RECS 2015”) and EIA's 2012 Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (“CBECS 2012”), together with consumer furnace fans test procedure calculation methodologies used to determine the annual energy consumption associated with the considered standard levels. Probability distributions are derived for various input parameters.
    Energy Prices Calculated monthly marginal average electricity, natural gas or liquefied petroleum gas (“LPG”), and fuel oil prices in each of the 50 U.S. States and District of Columbia, using EIA historical data and billing data for each RECS 2015 housing unit and CBECS 2012 building.
    Energy Price Trends Residential and commercial prices were escalated by using EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2023 ( AEO 2023) forecasts to estimate future energy prices. Escalation was performed at the Census Division level.
    Repair and Maintenance Costs Estimated the costs associated with preventive maintenance ( e.g., checking furnace fan) and repair ( e.g., replacing motor) based on data from a variety of published sources, including RSMeans 2023 Facilities Maintenance and Repair Data. It is assumed that maintenance and repair costs vary by efficiency level, and probability distributions are derived for various input parameters.
    Product Lifetime Used Weibull probability distribution of lifetimes developed for consumer furnace fans based on various survey and shipments data.
    Discount Rates Probability distributions by income bins are derived for residential discount rates based on the Federal Reserve Board's Survey of Consumer Finances from 1995 to 2019 and various interest rate sources. Probability distributions for commercial discount rates for various building activities ( e.g., office) are derived using multiple interest rate sources. See section IV.E.7 of this document.
    Compliance Date 2030 (five years after expected publication of the final rule).
    * References for the data sources mentioned in this table are provided in the sections following the table or in chapter 8 of the November 2022 Preliminary Analysis TSD. Energy price trends, product lifetimes, and discount rates are not used for the PBP calculation.

    Table IV.23—Summary of Energy Price Comparison of 2023 EIA Data Relative to November 2023 NOPD

    Energy type Percentage change in 2030 energy price
    Electricity −20
    Natural Gas 1
    LPG 1
    Fuel Oil −16

    Table IV.24—No-New-Standards Case Energy Efficiency Distributions in 2030 for Consumer Furnace Fans

    Product class EL No-new-standards case (%) Efficiency level (%)
    1 2
    Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fan 0 1 100 100
    NonWeatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fan 0 1 100 100
    Weatherized NonCondensing Gas Furnace Fan 0 1 100 100
    NonWeatherized, NonCondensing Oil Furnace Fan 0 46
    1 54 100
    2 100
    NonWeatherized Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan 0 1 100 100
    Mobile Home NonWeatherized, NonCondensing Gas Furnace Fan 0 11
    1 89 100
    2 100
    Mobile Home NonWeatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fan 0 8
    1 92 100
    2 100
    Mobile Home NonWeatherized Oil Furnace Fan 0 90
    1 10 100
    2 100
    Mobile Home Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fan 0 1 100 100

    Table IV.25—Summary of Inputs and Methods for the National Impact Analysis

    Input Method
    Shipments Annual shipments from shipments model.
    Compliance Date of Standard 2030.
    Efficiency Trends No-new-standards case based on historical shipment data and on current consumer furnace fans model availability by efficiency level ( see chapter 8 of the November 2022 Preliminary Analysis TSD). Roll-up in the compliance year for standards cases.
    Annual Energy Consumption per Unit Annual weighted-average values are a function of shipments-weighted unit energy use consumption.
    Total Installed Cost per Unit Annual weighted-average values as a function of the efficiency distribution ( see chapter 8 of the November 2022 Preliminary Analysis TSD).
    Annual Energy Cost per Unit Annual weighted-average values as a function of the annual energy consumption per unit and energy prices.
    Repair and Maintenance Cost per Unit Annual values as a function of efficiency level ( see chapter 8 of the November 2022 Preliminary Analysis TSD).
    Energy Price Trends AEO 2023 projections to 2050 and extrapolation thereafter.
    Energy Site-to-Primary and FFC Conversion A time-series conversion factor based on AEO 2023.
    Discount Rate 3 percent and 7 percent.
    Present Year 2023.

    Table V.1—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (NWG-NC)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 403 67 1,160 1,563 20.9
    1 495 60 1,069 1,565 12.9 20.9
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.2—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (NWG-NC)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 68.4 (1)
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers. Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.3—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (NWG-C)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 420 61 1,106 1,525 21.9
    1 501 55 1,024 1,526 13.3 21.9
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.4—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (NWG-C)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 70.7 (0)
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers. Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.5—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (MH-NWG-NC)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 212 54 884 1,096 20.7
    1 258 35 589 847 2.3 20.7
    2 332 30 530 863 5.0 20.7
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.6—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (MH-NWG-NC)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 3.8 231
    2 76.1 9
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers.

    Table V.7—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (MH-NWG-C)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 238 62 1,039 1,277 21.5
    1 300 37 666 966 2.5 21.5
    2 364 34 631 995 4.6 21.5
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.8—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (MH-NWG-C)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 1.5 292
    2 82.1 (7)
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers. Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.9—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Mobile Home Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fans (MH-EF/MB)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 255 36 629 885 20.7
    1 315 32 578 893 14.7 20.7
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.10—LCC Average Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Mobile Home Electric Furnace/Modular Blower Fans (MH-EF/MB)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 71.5 (8)
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers. Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.11—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fans (NWO-NC)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 568 151 2,601 3,169 22.2
    1 654 110 1,940 2,594 2.1 22.2
    2 765 103 1,840 2,605 4.1 22.2
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.12—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fans (NWO-NC)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 4.4 618
    2 52.2 274
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers.

    Table V.13—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (WG-NC)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 385 81 1,322 1,706 20.6
    1 478 71 1,188 1,666 9.1 20.6
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.14—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Weatherized, Non-Condensing Gas Furnace Fans (WG-NC)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 54.9 40
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers.

    Table V.15—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Electric Furnace/Modular Blowers (NWEF/NWMB)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 305 43 726 1,031 20.7
    1 371 39 673 1,045 16.0 20.7
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.16—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Electric Furnace/Modular Blowers (NWEF/NWMB)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 77.5 (14)
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers. Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.17—Average LCC and PBP Results by Efficiency Level for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fans (MH-NWO-NC)

    Efficiency level Average costs (2022$) Simple payback period (years) Average lifetime (years)
    Installed cost First year's operating cost Lifetime operating cost LCC
    0 491 88 1,539 2,030 22.5
    1 541 66 1,187 1,728 2.3 22.5
    2 624 61 1,105 1,729 5.0 22.5
    Note: The results for each EL are calculated assuming that all consumers use products at that efficiency level. The PBP is measured relative to the baseline product.

    Table V.18—Average LCC Savings Relative to the Base Case Efficiency Distribution for Mobile Home Non-Weatherized, Non-Condensing Oil Furnace Fan (MH-NWO-NC)

    Efficiency level Percentage of consumers with net cost Average savings— impacted consumers (2022$) *
    1 21.0 308
    2 54.7 276
    * The savings represent the average LCC for affected consumers.

    Table V.19—Cumulative National Energy Savings for Consumer Furnace Fans; 30 Years of Shipments

    [2030-2059]

    Candidate standards level
    1 2
    (quads)
    Primary energy 0.013 1.355
    FFC energy 0.013 1.374

    Table V.20—Cumulative National Energy Savings for Consumer Furnace Fans; 9 Years of Shipments

    [2030-2038]

    Candidate standards level
    1 2
    (quads)
    Primary energy 0.005 0.376
    FFC energy 0.005 0.381

    Table V.21—Cumulative Net Present Value of Consumer Benefits for Consumer Furnace Fans; 30 Years of Shipments

    [2030-2059]

    Discount rate Candidate standards level
    1 2
    (billion 2022$)
    3 percent 0.112 1.821
    7 percent 0.042 (0.150)
    Note: Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.

    Table V.22—Cumulative Net Present Value of Consumer Benefits for Consumer Furnace Fans; 9 Years of Shipments

    [2030-2038]

    Discount rate Candidate standards level
    1 2
    (billion 2022$)
    3 percent 0.056 0.716
    7 percent 0.026 (0.071)
    Note: Parentheses indicate negative (−) values.