W. Va. Code R. § 76-03-2
Long-term Projections for Jobs in Industries and Occupations
According to the United States Census Bureau, West Virginia's population totaled 1,852,994 during the last conducted census in 2010. The total number of West Virginians age 55 and older totaled 562,229, comprising 30.4% of the state's total population. Table 1 illustrates the total population categorized by age ranges.
Table 1
Total Population Categorized by Age Range
Age Range | Total | Percentage |
55 to 59 | 139,368 | 7.5% |
60 to 64 years | 125,457 | 6.8% |
65 to 69 years | 91,728 | 5% |
70 to 74 years | 71,792 | 3.9% |
75 to 79 years | 54,725 | 3% |
80 to 84 years | 43,238 | 2.3% |
85 years and over | 35,921 | 1.9% |
(Source: Census Bureau, fact finder, 2010)
Figure 1 shows the age distribution of West Virginia's working age population in all industries that are broken down into twenty sectors. These sectors include Finance and Insurance; Real Estate; Professional; Scientific, and Technical Services; Management of Companies and Enterprises; Administrative Support; Waste Management and Remediation Services; Educational Services; Health Care and Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation; Accommodation and Food Services; Other Services; and Public Administration.
Figure 2 narrows down the population results showing only SCSEP's target audience (55+) in all industries. As depicted in the figures, there is evidence of continuous increase in the representation of (55+) seniors entering the workforce.
Figure 1.
Figure 2
(Source: Figure 1 & 2, QWI Explorer Appendix 97-2018)
According to the Quarterly Workforce Indications (QWI), out of the twenty industries, the industry sectors that represented the largest numbers of employed seniors during 2018 were Health Care and Social Assistance (20%), Education Services (13%), Retail Trade (11%) and Manufacturing (8%). These sectors were the top four employers for older workers 55+ during 2018. Table 2 illustrates the industries during 2018 that had the largest number of older workers.
Table 2 Industry Sector Employment of Older Working West Virginians 55+ in 2018
(Source: Table 2; QWI, NAICS Sectors, 2018)
Information from the QWI was narrowed down to display which of the 20 Industry Sectors had the highest percentage of hiring older workers (55+). Industry Sectors with the largest percent of new hires of older workers during 2018 were Construction (17%), Health Care and Social Assistance (11%) and Retail Trade (10%). Table 3 illustrates the industries during 2018 that had the largest number of 55+ seniors.
(Source: QWI, NCAICS Sectors, 2018)
From the information gathered in Table 3, the staffing patterns from the top three Industry Sectors of New Hires show employment in Construction (17%), Healthcare and Social Assistance (11%) and Retail Trade (10%). We can forecast that these industries will continue to hire older workers, thus providing employment opportunities in the following Equal Employment Opportunities (EEO) Occupations Groups based off the Industry Sector of New Hires: Transportation, Natural Resources, Contruction & Maintenance Occupations, Sales and Office Occupations, Service Occupations, Education, Legal, Community Service, Arts & Media Occupations, Management, Business & Science. EEO Occupational Groups are categorized into 14 groups and further categorized into nine job categories. Table 4 illustrates the twelve Occupational Groups that were narrowed down from the top three Industries.
( Source: EEO Tabulation 2006-2010 (5yr ACS)
Strategic Training Plan for Participants to be placed in Unsubsidized Employment
In order to maximize SCSEP participant placement in unsubsidized employment in high demand jobs, the statewide SCSEP network will focus their on-the-job training opportunities and host agency recruitment efforts on agencies that can provide training for the types of occupations that are listed in Table 4 that are forecasted based on Industry Sector of New Hires 2018 to hire older workers.
Training opportunities will be increased to provide a variety of opportunities that have a higher percentage of developing into unsubsidized employment. Training for computer literacy will continue to be at the forefront, as this is a necessity in a majority of the occupations that forecast continued employment. Computer training opportunities are provided through many entities, such as local American Job Centers (AJC), local Community Colleges, and public libraries. When appropriate, program coordinators and host agencies will encourage participation in specialized computer training opportunities.
Access to training classes offered by the local American Job Center and other non-profit organizations will help increase the skills that enrollees will need to continue to pursue employment.
Another strategy for older workers to be placed into unsubsidized employment would be to look into occupations that require minimum training, as this would help the statewide SCSEP meet the employment goals listed in the core measures that are set forth by DOL.
State Current and Projected Employment Opportunities
Per the Workforce West Virginia (WFWV), Labor Market Information (LMI) Ten(10) year projections of the high demand occupations that require minimum education and fit our SCSEP participants' education and training levels include the following:
* Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
* Customer Service Clerks
* Social and Human Service Assistants
* Community Health Workers
* Animal Caretakers
* Post Secondary School
* Personal Care Aides
* Home Health Aides
* Rehabilitation
* Janitors
* Counter Attendants
Some of these occupations require less than a high school education. Others require a high school diploma or some college. Per the data received from SPARQ, the majority of our participants meet the education requirements for the jobs listed above. Hourly wages for the listed occupations start at a minimum of $10.41.
Table 5
Education | PY 18 Q4 Final YTD % |
8th grade and under | 2 |
9th grade - 11th grade | 15 |
High school Diploma | 49 |
1-3 years college | 21 |
Post- Secondary certificate | 0 |
Associate's Degree | 1 |
Bachelor's Degree or equivalent | 11 |
Some graduate School | 1 |
Master's Degree | 1 |
Doctoral Degree | 0 |
( Source: SPARQ, Quarterly Progress Report Program Year 2018, Quarter 4 Final)
Table 5a provides employment projections based on eight education levels in West Virginia.
Table 5A: Projections by Level of Education
(Figure shows employment projections based on eight education levels for the year 2026.)
2016-2026 Occupational Projections by Level of Education | ||||
Education Level | 2016 Employment | 2016% of Workforce | 2026 Projected Employment | 2026% of Workforce |
Less than high school | 204,905 | 27.18% | 217,467 | 27.34% |
High school diploma or equivalent | 321,770 | 42.68% | 330,507 | 41.55% |
Some college, no degree | 935 | 0.12% | 1,036 | 0.13% |
Postsecondary non- degree award | 27,534 | 3.65% | 29,974 | 3.77% |
Associate degree | 29,988 | 3.98% | 32,412 | 4.07% |
Bachelor's degree | 75,584 | 10.02% | 81,073 | 10.19% |
Master's degree | 12,755 | 1.69% | 14,523 | 1.83% |
Doctoral or professional degree | 10,027 | 1.33% | 11,012 | 1.38% |
Not applicable | 70,476 | 9.35% | 77,496 | 9.74% |
Total | 753,974 | 795,500 | ||
(Source: Workforce West Virginia, Occupational Employment Statistics (OES)
Table 6 illustrates the required level of education, on-the job training, work experience required, and growth rate of each occupation.
Table 6
( Source: WV LMI Long term Occupation Projections 2016-2026)
The Workforce West Virginia (WFWV) office divides the state into seven geographic regions that covers all 55 counties shown on the map in Appendix B. As shown below, each region shows their specific region's greatest growth occupation. Not only does the WFWV consist of seven (7) geographic regions, the seven (7) regions each have at least one comprehensive AJC, at minimum. In total, the seven regions hold Ten (10) comprehensive centers, five (5) satellite centers and seventeen (17) affiliate sites throughout the State. One of the goals of the AJCWV is to offer job seekers and employers ready access to the many workforce development resources available in a local region. The WVWF office offering resources equally across the state as stated above, The SCSEP Network will continue to utilize resources such as transition programs, adult displacement resources, resume enhancement, computer classes, mock interviews and all other events that are offered at the AJCWV.
Within the seven (7) regions that WFWV has divided the state into, each region shows that Host Agency recruitment and enrollee training will have to be individualized to adapt to that particular Region's occupational demands. The SCSEP Network will maintain working relationships with all WFWV offices to obtain relevant employment and training information that pertains to that Region. Sub-grantees will continue to inform enrollees of their specific region's occupational projections.
WIOA Region 1 Occupational Employment Projections 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 1 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Home Health Aides | Photographers |
Occupational Therapy Assistants | Legal Secretaries |
Nurse Practitioners | Mine Shuttle Car Operators |
Physician Assistants | Switchboard Operations, Including Answering Service |
Personal Care Aides | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants |
WIOA Region 2 Occupational Employment Projections 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 2 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Occupational Therapy Assistants | Legal Secretaries |
Nurse Practitioners | Mine Shuttle Car Operators |
Physician Assistants | Switchboard Operations, Including Answering Service |
Physical Therapist Assistants | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants |
Massage Therapists | Labor Relations Specialist |
WIOA Region 3 Occupational Employment Projections 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 3 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Personal Care Aides | Computer Operators |
Occupational Therapy Assistants | Legal Secretaries |
Nurse Practitioners | Medical Transcriptionists |
Physician Assistants | Data Entery Keyrs |
Operations Research Analysts | Switchboard Operations, Including Answering Service |
WIOA Region 4 Occupational Employment Projections 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 4 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Home Health Aides | Legal Secretaries |
Personal Care Aides | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants |
Nurse Practitioners | Medical Transcriptionists |
Occupational Therapy Assistants | Labor Relations Specialist |
Respiratory Therapists | Floral Designers |
WIOA Region 5 Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 5 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Home Health Aides | Data Entry Keyrs |
Personal Care Aides | Legal Secretaries |
Nurse Practitioners | Mine Shuttle Car Operators |
Physician Assistants | Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Services |
Software Developers, Applications | Labor Relations Specialist |
WIOA Region 6 Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 6 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Home Health Aides | Data Entry Keyrs |
Personal Care Aides | Legal Secretaries |
Nurse Practitioners | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants |
Software Developers, Applications | Mine Shuttle Car Operators |
Statisticians | Medical Transcriptionists |
WIOA Region 7 Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
Occupational Projects 2016-2026 | |
WIOA 7 | |
Greatest Growth Occupations | Greatest Declining Occupations |
Nurse Practitioners | Legal Secretaries |
Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants |
Personal Care Aides | Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other |
Healthcare Social Workers | Team Assemblers |
Software Developers, Applications | Floral Designers |
W. Va. Code R. § 76-03-2